Monday, June 20, 2011

The roles and responsibilities of Public Health professionals in predicting and preventing Genocide

Elihu D Richter , Yael Stein

The Jerusalem Center for Genocide Prevention


What are the roles and responsibilities of public health professionals in predicting and preventing genocide?

The core value of medicine and public health is respect for individual human life, and dignity. Genocide—the intent to destroy a group defined by its ethnic, racial, religious or national or political origin in whole or in part, represents the most extreme assault on this core value. Scholars tell us that there are early warning signs of genocide. Epidemiology, the core discipline of public health, tells us that if adverse effects are predictable, they are preventable.

What can we in public health and epidemiology do to predict and prevent genocide and promote respect for human life and dignity?

Our first responsibility is to obey Medicine's oldest aphorism. Do No Harm. Leaders of Medicine and Public Health violated this aphorism in the extreme when promoting Eugenics and Social Darwinism. Getting rid of sickness in individuals mutated into getting rid of sick individuals, then into getting rid of groups of sick individuals--"Racial Hygiene" in Nazi Medicine, and later "Ethnic Clensing". Ironically, many active members of the Nazi party, including many commanders of concentration and death camps, were themselves medical professionals – who were convinced these acts were in fact promotion of public health by protection of the "master race".

Second, epidemiologists should ensure that standards which guide those guiding rapid investigation of reports of communicable disease outbreaks are applied to reports of atrocity crimes. These systems need to be insulated from political pressures and use a priori criteria and defined protocols. Epidemiologists need to recognize the role of repression and suppression biases —i.e shooting the messengers and burying the victims—in producing non-reporting underreporting atrocitly crimes but also have to be aware of the tendency of victims groups to inflate numbers of victims; [i]

Third, public health professionals should work to promote application of precautionary strategies to genocide prediction and prevention. Precautionary strategies are based on the principle that it is better to be safe than sorry and that an ounce of prevention is better than a pound of cure. In the case of genocide, a precautionary strategy encourages cost-effective interventions directed at the early warning signs, notably hate language and incitement. These strategies mean that there is a Responsibility to Prevent. Responsibility to Prevent advances the locus of intervention to an earlier stage of intervention than that implied by Responsibility to Protect.

Fourth, we in public health should be vigilant against the hijacking of medical metaphors to dehumanize and demonize– highly specific early warning signs of genocide and genocidal massacres and terror. To promote proactive precautionary interventions, epidemiologists should set up surveillance networks modeled after the systems for monitoring and reporting warning signs of epidemic diseases for monitoring hate language in state sponsored media, textbooks, and places of worship. They should identify their sources, and map their distribution and spread and evaluate interventions. [1] Interventions against hate language and incitement are an excellent example of a proactive application of the Precautionary Principle.

Fifth, epidemiologists should strengthen surveillance for rape, now ever more than before being used as weapon of genocide, and promote aggressive political and public interventions to protect women. There is also the need for surveillance and action to stop kidnapping of children and their forced recruitment as child soldiers, the most brutal form of child labor.

Sixth, we in public health should aim to broaden classic definitions of genocide to include ecocidal scenarios with varying degrees of destructive intent, starting with the willful destruction of habitat and life support systems and, reproductive capacity to destruction resulting from wanton or willfully negligent industrial practices. Public health organizations have a responsibility to protect whistleblowers calling attention to these problems. But we have to recognize there is legitimate controversy as to the inclusion and exclusion criteria for such scenarios and whether they should be considered as crimes against humanity.

Seventh, public health professionals should promote Positive Deviance-- cooperating in building on successes to advance our core value: promoting life and respect for life. In all scenarios of conflict and violence, public health and medicine are bridges for overcoming barriers. Access to clean water, food, air and shelter and medical care are core human rights which mandate cooperation between professionals in public health, no matter what the political barriers are.

Eighth and perhaps most important, health and medical professionals have a responsibility, as individuals and groups, not to be passive or complicit bystanders, but to speak out publicly on genocidal threats and their early warning signs. Genocide results from human choice and bystander indifference. One lesson of the Holocaust is that: silence makes one a complicit bystander to genocide. There is no ethical case for the position that speaking out on such threats, if based on evidence of genocidal threats, or compelling evidence that such evidence is being suppressed, is somehow a slide down the slippery slope to politicization . Not to speak out is to slide down that slippery slope. There is no action more important to promoting the core value of medicine and public health: respect for individual human life and dignity.








--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


1. A case in point of a failure to adhere to proper standards of investigation was the UN’s sloppy investigation of the genocidal mass murders, rapes and plundering in Darfur, This sloppy investigation had the effect of manufacturing doubt concerning the results of a far more rigorous investigation by the US State Department, a study that did find that there was a pattern of organized intent to destroy a population “in whole or in part”.

[1] We have published the Timeline of the incitement of Radio Milles Des Collines as a forerunner to the Rwandan genocide.

Richter ED, Stein Y, Barnea Burnley A, Sherman M. Can we prevent Genocide by preventing Incitement? Case Western Reserve University archives.

http://hdl.handle.net/2186/ksl:riccan00/riccan00.pdf



Notes:

Our timeline itemizing Iranian state hate language (dehumanization, demonization, delegitimization, disinformation, and denial) is an example of an attempt to quantify temporal fluctuations in frequency and intensity.

Stein Y, Pileggi T, Barnea Burnley A, Richter ED. More "Mein Kampf": A Chronology of Statements of Incitement and Hate Language by Ahmadinejad and other Iranian Leaders.
http://www.genocidepreventionnow.org/HomeIssue5Winter2011/GPNISSUES/Issue4Fall2010/tabid/90/ctl/DisplayArticle/mid/473/aid/143/Default.aspx

Richter ED, Barnea A. Tehran's Genocidal Incitement against Israel. Middle East Quarterly. Summer 2009, pp. 45-51

http://www.meforum.org/2167/iran-genocidal-incitement-israel



A second example is the Kedar-Yerushalmi study of jihadist incitement in American mosques carried out by the NY PD.

Kedar M, Yerushalmi D. Shari'a and Violence in American Mosques. Middle East Quarterly. Summer 2011, pp. 59-72

http://www.meforum.org/2931/american-mosques



A third are the studies of incitement and education for peace in Textbooks in various Mideastern countries, by Arnon Groiss, IMPACT-SE.

Palestinian Textbooks: From Arafat to Abbas and Hamas. IMPACT-SE. March 2008

http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/PA/PA2008.pdf

Peace and the "Other" in Tunisian Schoolbooks: A Concise Final Report. IMPACT-SE. November 2009.

http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/Tunisia/Tunisia_Final2009.pdf



A fourth is the current project to assess Incitement in Palestinian and Israeli textbooks sponsored by the US State Department.



Last Updated on Friday, 17 June 2011 00:55

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Can there be Peace without Stopping Incitement and Hate Language?

Wars are not fought for territory, but for words. Man's deadliest weapon is language. He is susceptible to being hypnotized by slogans as he is to infectious diseases. And where there is an epidemic, the group mind takes over.

Arthur Koestler

“Auschwitz was built not with stones, but words"


Abraham Joshua Heschel


Make water for life, (W4L), not words for war
Prepared by

Professor Elihu D Richter MD MPH
Dr. Yael Stein MD
Hebrew University-Hadassah School of Public Health and Community Medicine
Genocide Prevention Program

Jerusalem Israel

May 2011


Note: This document is based on a position paper submitted to the Prime Minister’s Office of the Government of Israel. There was no funding from governmental or private sources.
The opinions are those of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect their organizational affiliation, nor are do they necessarily reflect those of sites on which it is posted. Posting this document does not necessarily mean that agreement with all the opinions presented.



Key Excerpts

Currently, there is an asymmetry between Israel's quest for peace, safety and security as a Jewish state and varying degrees of Muslim rejectionism. Israel's goal is full acceptance of its existence, security, safety as a State and respect for its right to sovereignty as a Jewish State. Israel seeks the kind of normal relationships that prevail between the US and Canada, and between the EU countries. No Muslim country, including those which are Israel’s neighbors, promotes education for peace with Israel, based on mutual respect between countries and their populations. Within the Islamic world, there is a spectrum of positions ranging from acceptance of a cold peace to a state of cease fire to encouraging genocidal terror and genocide...
…The failure to end Incitement and Hate Language and to promote peace based on mutual respect between the Arab and wider Islamic world and Israel and world Jewry is the core problem underlying the so-called Mid East conflict.
….If there will be economic peace and formal agreements on the so-called core issues — (Borders, Security, Refugees, Settlements, Jerusalem and Water), past evidence suggests that peace will not be sustainable without dealing with the real core issue: an end to Hate Language and Incitement and promotion of positive measures of respect and dignity for all. In any case without an end to Hate Language and Incitement, it will not be possible to reach agreements on the above. If, in coming years, there will be an end to Hate Language and Incitement, even without an agreement now The possibility remains there will be a stronger environment for a more sustainable win-win agreements...
Promoting positive messages, Respect for Life (R4L) and Human Dignity (HD) and Live and Let Live (L&LL) are central to a culture of peace. Positive Deviance—imitating the best, not the worst - will augment the campaign against incitement. Such a commitment means the need to upgrade current commercial and economic exchanges and agreements –i.e. "economic peace", into a broader vision of promoting a culture of peace that gives priority to regional win-win strategies for Water for Life (W4L), regional approaches to disaster prevention and response, and promotion of sustainable strategies for regional development.

…..The lesson of the past decades is that leaders say what they mean and mean what they say to their people, and that these messages shape norms and expectations which themselves define the boundaries of what the leaders themselves can or cannot do. It is what the leaders do to end Incitement and Hate Language in all forms, in the media, texts, religious places of worship, street signs and road maps, and diplomatic statements -- and not what they say in closed meetings to other diplomats -- that has to be the measure of action. Equally important is what they do to promote positive messages of peace, respect for life and human dignity, and live and let live. State sanctioned Hate Language and Incitement increases risk for genocidal terror and violence. Now, the situation has been made worse by internet incitement.

An end to Incitement and Hate Language is an absolute precondition for any agreement. Without it, there may never be any sustainable agreement. The negotiations will either succeed, or fail in producing the first steps towards a sustainable agreement or produce some kind of interim stalemate without war, terror, or violence. The bottom line measure of success or failure is the number of terror episodes and their victims. The airwaves TV screens and internet are now Israel’s major battlefront.

The failure of negotiators and mediators to recognize the enduring impacts of intergenerational transmission of hatred on the young is the most astounding fact concerning the Mideast conflict. What is even more astounding is the failure to take action to counter this intergenerational hatred. We propose region-wide strategies for intervention to prevent Hate Language and Incitement, based on public health models of predict and prevent. These strategies are based on epidemiologic surveillance for the warning signs of genocidal Jihadist terror and conflict. These strategies can be used to trigger interventions grounded in international laws to prevent and punish incitement to genocide.





Can there be Peace without Stopping Incitement and Hate Language?

1. Introduction

We are committed to life and respect for life and human dignity of all. We would like to see peace in our region. Like many other Israelis, we have been bit players in projects to promote cooperation in things that promote life and live and let live. This commitment comes from our identity as human beings, Jews, and Zionists.

As we wrote this document, one of us was in touch with the survivor of a terror stabbing attack against two women in the parks just outside Ness Harim, a beautiful scenic area outside of Jerusalem. She was Jewish, her friend Christian, and her Hadassah surgeon was Arab. As Israelis, we have been mugged by reality: Since the Oslo accords, territorial withdrawals—from the West Bank, Gaza, and Lebanon were followed by terror. Now there is a quiet of sorts, and there are calls for negotiations on the so-called core issues. Around us, the Mideast is convulsing.
As an epidemiologist and a researcher working in public health, this belief has driven us to examine the role of incitement and Hate Language, not only in our region, but elsewhere, in predicting and promoting conflict, terror, mass atrocities, war and genocide.
We address the question: Can there be a sustainable, durable peace agreement (i.e. an end to threats of terror, massacres, atrocity crimes, and war without an end to region-wide state sanctioned Hate Language and Incitement? Our comments below are based on prior knowledge from scholars of genocide and our own work in applying the tools of epidemiology for prediction and prevention of all of the above. Our premise, which should be self-evident, is that words and images are used to shape beliefs, norms, behaviors, and attitudes towards the most fundamental questions of life. Leaders use Words to bring people together or drive them apart. Words can heal or can kill.
Those who are working for a durable peace agreements between the wider Islamic world and Israel need to have an elementary knowledge of Incitement and Hate Language, their impacts, and the degree to which, in our opinion, they undermine the possibility of any enduring agreement that is worth more than the paper it is written on.
We have been particularly interested in using public health models of the spread of epidemic conditions to address the following questions. What are the modes of spread of incitement? What are the effects of population-wide exposure to incitement (“the mean determines the range”) in authoritarian, hierarchical and coercive environments from the top down? What are the effects on high risk vulnerable subgroups and individuals, (e.g. children and young males)? Are there so called herd effects driven by the extreme (“the extreme determines the mean”)? How long does it take to incite groups to hate and to turn to violence (What are the latency periods)? Are there resistant individuals and groups? We have also looked at inter-generational transmission, new internet driven social networks in catalyzing immediate “viral” spread of incitement, positive and negative deviance and the effectiveness and limitations of interventions.
Architects and perpetrators use the Six D’s -- Dehumanization, Demonization, Delegitimization, Double standards, Defamation and Disinformation (the 6 Ds) to recruit, instruct, order and direct followers and desensitize bystanders. During the 20th century and the first decade of the 21st, perpetrators have used state sponsored Incitement and Hate Language to promote conflict, genocidal terror and genocide. Furthermore, scholars have also noted that a seventh D, Denial of Past Genocides, itself forecasts current intimidation and threats to past victims.



2. State sanctioned Incitement and Hate Language: Why it is important?

State sanctioned Incitement and Hate Language is important because it signifies intent, directs, coerces, instructs, orders, and transmits inter-generational messages from figures of authority and power. It predicts and promotes agendas for tension, discrimination, persecution, intimidation, terror, and conflict. Incitement and Hate Language is “out there”, accessible, definable and measurable. It distorts and warps knowledge, attitudes and behaviors of the young. The fact that the young are more vulnerable to the motifs of Hate Language—in texts, media, cues, street signs, public art and media ensures inter-generational transmission, as has been the case in our region for some 70 years. It provides the ecology for such inter-generational transmission and radicalization of the young.

State sanctioned Incitement and Hate Language contravenes the spirit and the letter of violates International Law, notably the UN Convention on Prevention of Genocide and its Punishment, the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court. Therefore it is preventable and prosecutable.
Humanism and religion both proclaim a commitment to life and respect for life. State sanctioned Incitement and Hate Language undermine messages of life, respect for life, dignity of the other and live and let live. It does not acknowledge that the "other" has these rights.
Currently, there is an asymmetry between Israel's quest for peace, safety and security as a Jewish state and the varying degrees of Muslim rejectionism. Israel's goal is full acceptance of its existence, security, safety as a state and respect for its right to sovereignty as a Jewish state, Israel seeks the kind of normal relationships that prevail between the US and Canada, and between EU countries. Neither the US nor Canada incite against each other, nor do the EU countries. Neither France nor the UK incite against Germany despite horrors of World War II. But no Muslim country promotes education for peace with Israel based on mutual respect between countries and their populations. Within the Arab world, there are a spectrum of positions ranging from acceptance of a cold peace to encouraging genocidal terror and genocide. This scenario of rejection serves as a powerful disincentive to any Israeli willingness to explore so called compromises for peace. Israelis, when exposed to the incitement endemic in the Arab world, ask: do our neighbors want two states, or two stages?
The burden of proof is on those who believe the former is true.

Our thesis is that failure to end Incitement and Hate Language and to promote peace based on mutual respect between the Arab world, Israel and world Jewry is the core problem underlying the so-called mid east conflict. An end to such incitement of all kinds is the event signaling the tectonic shift that must take place before there can be a discussion of all the other so-called core issues.
Muslim rejectionism comes in varying doses and packages. It preceded the establishment of the State of Israel, and is driven by centuries old Jihadist anti-semitic motifs.

Iran explicitly incites to genocide, exports terror to Hamas and Hezbollah, and pursues nuclearization. It is the epicenter of the world wide axis of jihadist genocidal anti-semitic incitement, using rhetoric identical to that in Mein Kampf.
Syria and Lebanon cooperate with Iran's support for surrogate terror groups, even if both are ready for a status quo kind of cease fire.
Saudi Arabia funds and propagates Hate Language and Incitement everywhere, even though it and Israel share a common interest in the status quo, stability, stopping Iran and Hezbollah.
Egypt and Jordan have a functional cold peace with Israel, with diplomatic relations, trade, open borders, but neither actively promotes peace, and Egypt's armed forces train for war against Israel. In both, there are restive Islamist groups agitating against Israel. Egypt is now at a tipping point, and there are signs are that its Revolution could turn foul, and it could become an ally of Iran's orbit.

Iraq, currently putting itself back together, could go in the direction of Egypt and Jordan.

The PA has not abandoned its role at the forefront of worldwide campaigns to demonize and delegitimize Israel, with so called visible and invisible delegitimization – and even more so now that Hamas and Fatah have formed a coalition government.

Visible delegitimization by my Muslim states all around the Middle East includes statements explicitly condemning or denying Israel’s right to exist. The PA still aggressively demonizes and delegitimizes Israel and Israelis in diplomatic forums. It continues to memorialize perpetrators of vicious terror attacks against Israeli civilians. Such delegitimization is “out there” and easy to track. See Appendix --- for examples of delegitimization and other types of incitement against Israel and Jews, in media and textbooks.
Invisible delegitimization--- an insidious form of incitement-- means simply ignoring Israel’s existence in maps and texts, ignoring the history and historical places of the Jewish people, excluding Jews from statements promoting religious tolerance, and the like. Tourist brochures and maps still delegitimize Israel and its Jewish population by not acknowledging Israel’s existence as a democratic Jewish state or the existence of Israelis as normal human beings. PA texts, PR material, brochures, and diplomatic statements delegitimize Israel invisibly, by ignoring its existence.
Invisible delegitimization is both "there" and "not there", and therefore it more often than not is easily missed. For those tracking incitement, it is all too easy to overlook the presence of such delegitimization precisely because it is invisible.


Within the PA: both Fatah and Hamas propagate motifs of disinformation and misinformation to reinforce negative motifs against Israel worldwide.
Fatah claims it is resigned to accepting Israel as an established fact. But the weight of the evidence is that Fatah clings to the goal and strategy of two stages, not two states (i.e. first a Palestinian State alongside Israel, serving as a step towards taking apart Israel as a Jewish state at a later stage). It does not explicitly repudiate terror and violence as being morally wrong, but, since the defeats of the second Intifada terror attacks and the death of Arafat, eschews the path of violence for pragmatic reasons.
Hamas, with deep roots in the Muslim Brotherhood, is now an Iranian surrogate. It rejects Israel as an established fact, rejects negotiations with it, and supports what it calls armed struggle or resistance as a matter of religious principle. Hamas' motifs are virulently Jihadist anti-Semitic and genocidal. Its attack on the US for the killing of Osama Bin Laden is in keeping with its traditions.

3. "Economic Peace"—can it bring an end to the conflict?

There are those who pose an alternative claim to our position - that an end to incitement and Hate Language is the essential precondition for agreement on all the other issues. The alternative view is that Peace and Live and Let Live will come from promoting what is called “economic peace”—if you can’t change hearts and minds, then produce prosperity by aid, economic development and trade. Advancing economic peace is based on the common sense notion that where there is plenty of wealth, bellies are full business is good, people are buying and selling, and there is plenty of money for food and goods, most people will have no time for terror and war, no matter what they are hearing, seeing, reading or listening to. But is economic prosperity by itself a guarantor or promoter of peace?
Turkey's recent steady drift away from being friendly towards Israel refutes the notion that economic prosperity and trade alone will automatically lead to the disappearance of hostility. Under its Islamist leadership, Turkey’s drift into an Islamist posture is occurring despite an enormous economic boom and business as usual with Israel. Turkey is an example of a country in which an aggressive leadership determined to create an atmosphere of hostility has been successful in displacing a feeling of good will and good feelings created by win-win economics. Government-condoned TV broadcasts recycling old blood libels were the warning signs of impending trouble.
The PA still incites despite the fact that Israel is its biggest trading partner, in both directions. In short, state incitement can undermine the stabilizing effects of economic peace.

Were economic peace the automatic gateway to ending the conflict then all those who are wealthy and powerful in our region would be strong participants in the peace process. But Iran and Saudi Arabia are the major propagators of Hate Language and Incitement.

The "economic peace" claim does not take into account what happens when wealth does not reach the pockets of the public—especially the poor. We suggest that wealth and corruption can lead to scapegoating. Nor does this claim take into account a situation in which the fathers have jobs and money and the sons are exposed to incitement, either from the top down, or now, directly via the web, as has been the case with many recent terrorists. It does not take into account scenarios such as Gaza, where young men receive food subsidies, but do not have meaningful work. We suggest that the poor may not always produce leaders of terror movements, but their young, if exposed to incitement, will provide foot soldiers for violence and terror.

We suggest that generally an environment of incitement drags the mean level of risk for terror towards the extreme, especially in young men. Osama Bin Laden and Ahmad Sheikh (the murderer of Daniel Pearl) were fabulously wealthy, but their wealth did not immunize them from the effects of endemic state sponsored incitement in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. Most of the 9/11 participants came from comfortable backgrounds. On the contrary, their wealth gave them the means to act out the genocidal motifs they were exposed to in their mosques and schools.
Hassan Nidal – the US doctor who was economically secure — and the Nigerian "underwear bomber"--the son of a wealthy banker--- received their exposures to the Yemeni-American preacher via the internet and mosques. Osama Bin Laden and Ahmad Sheikh are examples of leaders who use role modeling, terror and murder to coerce and intimidate others.
The influence on these men from exposure to a high endemic population wide level of hate in their environments is an example of the mean determining the extreme.
The influence of these men on others is an example of the extreme dragging the mean.



4. Incitement:

a. Prior Knowledge from Genocide Scholars

We have published a review of the role of state sanctioned Incitement and Hate Language, which shows their central role in triggering, promoting and catalyzing risks for terror and atrocity crimes, genocidal massacres and genocide itself (1). Studies of past genocides, severe political conflicts and mass atrocities indicate that the relationship is highly predictive, even if it is not totally deterministic (Not all smokers get lung cancer, and not all patients with lung cancer smoked, but smokers have a greater than 10 fold risk than non-smokers).

What holds true for the relationship between incitement and genocide applies to far less extreme scenarios, starting all the way from cold peace to political hostility to low intensity conflict, as occurs with Pakistan posture's towards India, and war-like hostility, as with North Korea's actions towards the Republic of Korea. Such incitement is needed to motivate and recruit followers, to hold supporters and to desensitize bystanders. Our colleague, Dr Yaakov Michael, has suggested that such incitement is part of a more complex model of risk for conflict (see model).
Appendices 1-3: Range of scenarios from Peace and mutual respect to Genocide & range. The multi-dimensional model for predicted outcomes. Range / dimensions of Incitement.

b. Modes of Transmission: Top-down and Viral Spread:

Up through the 1990’s, the sources of exposures were mainly single point sources — e.g. powerful radio and TV stations (e.g. Rwanda, Kosovo), or mosques, or newspapers, and the dissemination was from the top down from these single sources. Now the internet, tiny websites and SMS propagate immediate global viral spread — as we have seen in Kenya. In Kosovo, NATO stopped incitement by bombing the Serb TV Station. In Rwanda, the genocide could possibly have been stopped at its onset, with several hundred troops and bombing the most popular radio station. In the era of viral spread via internet and cellphone messaging, it may no longer be sufficient to bomb radio and TV Stations to stop the incitement – but stopping this primary route of spread is still the necessary first step.

c. Viral Spread of Hate via the Internet

Today, the entire population of the mid-east—and now Pakistan and Turkey, as well as migrants elsewhere - are at risk from the toxic effects of exposure to Hate Language via viral spread through the internet. Such spread offers states and other official bodies the pretext of plausible deniability of responsibility. Furthermore, terror groups are now using mainstream social networks such as "facebook" to send their message out to the general public and recruit new members (2).
We suggest that the role of social networking via the internet in creating new norms shifts the mean further away from Live and Let Live.

d. Children and intergenerational effects of Hate Language and Incitement

Children are those most vulnerable to the effects of all toxins, including the toxic messages of incitement. Inter-generational transmission of hate messages led to antisemitic motifs becoming embedded in everyday Middle East political and social culture. Burdman has summarized the effects of incitement of children living in authoritarian societies and family structures, in patterning their long term attitudes and future susceptibility to becoming suicide bombers (3).

There are many examples of inter-generational transmission of messages of incitement, threats and intimidation resulting in massacres perpetrated against vulnerable minorities, and recurrent condoning of Genocidal motifs.
After the Genocides perpetrated against Christian Armenian, Greek and Assyrian minorities in the region by the disintegrating Ottoman Empire (1914-1917) and successor regimes, there have been repeated episodes of mass killing of these minority groups. In 1956 there was a pogrom in Istanbul, resulting in the flight of its large Greek community.
Currently, Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan has again become more threatening, not only to Israel, but to Kurdish and Armenian minorities.

Today, Arab political leaders have exploited the Jihadist genocidal Antisemitic Incitement of the 1920’s and 1930’s, using dehumanizing demonizing metaphors and motifs from ancient classic Islamic texts (Bostom)(4) which Nazi propaganda cleverly exploited (Fishman, Kuntzel)(5, 6). Today, with ever increasing economic wealth in the Arab world, we see a resurgence of these Anti-Semitic Islamist motifs. These motifs have been successful in promoting intergenerational transmission of its messages of dehumanization, demonization, and delegitimization through some 4 to 5 generations. Iranian state sanctioned Incitement and Hate Language and the coercive effects of increased repression have ensured intergenerational transmission for some 30 years—i.e. more than a generation, or 2.5 times, the life span of the Nazi regime, from 1933 to 1945, a mere 12 years.

Intergenerational transmission of Hate Language and incitement ensures the durability of the demonizing and dehumanizing motifs of Anti-Semitism, now so deeply embedded in the Islamic world. Repetition creates an environment for desensitizing bystanders, and undermines attempts at conflict resolution based on mutual respect for human life and dignity and live and let live. “Our hatred for Israel is in our genes”—a statement from Syrian actress Amal ‘Arafa, testifies to the enduring effects of an environment in which Hate Language is both embedded and endemic (7).




5. The Region-Wide Scenario: Hate Language and Incitement in the Middle East – Excerpts from school textbooks and Media


Saudi Arabia school textbooks:

"The Jews are wickedness in its very essence" (8).

"Now it [Palestine] is occupied by the Jews, a people of treachery and betrayal, who have gathered there from every place: from Poland, Spain, America and elsewhere. Their end, by God's will, is perdition" (9).
Egyptian school Textbooks:

"The lesson’s goals -
It is desirable that at the end of the lesson the student will be able to:
• Define the reasons for the war between the Muslims and the Jews of the Qaynuqa’ tribe.
• Mention some of the Jews’ blameworthy characteristics." (10)

"The description of the Jews in the Qur’an is an eternal miracle [in itself], since it described them by the traits to which they have adhered throughout all their generations, such as stubbornness, material greed, slander, hypocrisy, plotting against Islam and the Muslims, and waging a war which is multifarious in its methods and manifestations and one in its true nature and goal." (11)

"The Protected People [Ahl al-Dhimmah] shall not go out with them [i.e., with the Muslims, for prayer for rain outside the city]… because the gathering of infidels is expected to bring forth a [divine] curse." (12)

"[One] of the rules derived by the [Muslim religious] scholars from these [Qur’anic] verses is the following:
1. Obligation to fight the infidels with utmost vigor and power until
they become weak, their state disappears and they submit to the rule of the law of Islam." (13)


Egyptian TV:

Renowned Egyptologist Dr. Zahi Hawass, on Egyptian TV: "Jews Control the Entire World" (14)
Interviewer: "So [the Jews] were dispersed in 133 C.E.?"
Zahi Hawass: "That's right."
Interviewer: "And they didn't reunite until 1900?"
Zahi Hawass: "Exactly."
Interviewer: "So they were dispersed for 18 centuries?"
Zahi Hawass: "For 18 centuries, they were dispersed throughout the world. They went to America and took control of its economy. They have a plan. Although they are few in number, they control the entire world."

Egyptian Cleric Ahmad 'Eid Mihna on Egyptian TV: "The Jews Are Behind Misery, Hardship, Usury, and Whorehouses" (15)

Palestinian Authority school Textbooks:

Israel is portrayed as a power that harms its immediate environment, as enumerated in a list of more than twenty-five crimes, beginning with its very establishment, through the occupation of Palestine both in 1948 and 1967, expulsion of the Palestinian people, oppression of those under its control, aggression against neighboring Arab states, massacre of Palestinians, assassination of Palestinian leaders, destruction of the Palestinian economy, house demolition, stealing Palestinian land and water, breaking of Palestinian
territorial unity, attempts at obliterating Palestinian national identity and heritage, usurpation or desecration of Palestinian Christian and Muslim holy places, and finally, Israel’s responsibility for social ills such as drug addiction in Palestinian society, the meager participation of Palestinian women in economic activity, family violence, etc. (16)

The Zionist movement is presented as a racist movement connected with Western imperialism. (17)

The Protocols of the Elders of Zion, a czarist Russian fabrication from the early twentieth century, is presented in a PA history textbook for grade 10 as the secret resolutions of the First Zionist Congress. The text reads: “There is a group of confidential resolutions adopted by the Congress and known by the name The Protocols of the Elders of Zion, the goal of which was world domination. They were brought to light by Sergey
Nilos and translated into Arabic by Muhammad Khalifah Al-Tunisi. (18)

Following worldwide protests, the PA issued a revised edition of this book, but for a long time there was no indication that the old copies had been removed from schools and stores. The 2007 revised book does not include references to the Protocols.

"Your enemies killed your children, split open your women’s bellies, held your revered elderly men by the beard, and led them to the death pits."
This text was written by the Egyptian writer Mustafa Lutfi al-Manfaluti, who died in 1924. It was not originally directed against the Jews, but its inclusion in a Palestinian textbook of today clearly has a demonizing effect regarding Jews. (19)


Palestinian TV:

New Antisemitic Animated Film on Hamas' Al-Aqsa TV Vilifies Palestinian Authority: PA Security Forces Help Stereotypical Blood-Drinking Jews (20)
Settler Massacres Palestinians to Drink Their Blood, and is Welcomed by PA Officer
Father: "Son, the five most delicious things in the world are three..."
Settler: "I know."
Settler and his father: "Palestinian blood."
Father: "Go, son. Drink their blood, and come back safely."
Settler: "I will do it for you, father."
Father: "This is a map of Hebron. Take it. You may need it."
Settler: "I will not need it, because I am not Gilad [Shalit], and the West Bank is not Gaza. Calm down. Shalom, father."

The bear puppet host, Nassur, of a Hamas children's TV program, and Saraa Barhoum, 11 year old Child Star: (21)
[Seven year-old Palestinian child on phone tells how his father, a member of the Hamas Al-Qassam Brigades, “died as a Shahid (Martyr).”]
Nassur to child on phone: “What do you want to do to the Jews who shot your father?”
Child on phone: “I want to kill them.”
Saraa: “We don't want to do anything to them, just expel them from our land.”
Nassur: “We want to slaughter (Nidbah-hom) them, so they will be expelled from our land, right?”
Saraa: “Yes. That's right. We will expel them from our land using all means.”
Nassur: “And if they don't want [to go] peacefully, by words or talking, we’ll have to [do it] by slaughter.” (Shaht)


Turkish TV:

New television drama depicts Israel Defense Forces soldiers as brutal murderers.
The show, called "Ayrilik", features a love story that develops between the lead characters during Israel's offensive in the Gaza Strip, according to Israeli media reports.
A partial episode available on YouTube depicts multiple images of the IDF brutalizing the Palestinian population by shooting children in the chest and kicking elderly people on the ground, among other things.
The Turkish Web site of TRT includes a brief explanation of the series and announces that the production is “a heartfelt display of the events in Palestine, which was occupied in 1948.” The series, the website said, “portrays the sorrow of women and children, in particular, and gives a voice to the suffering of mothers whose children and husbands were slaughtered.” (22, 23, 24)



6. The Israel-PA Scenario
a. Israel and the PA:

Following the Oslo Accords in 1993, the US and the EU poured billions of dollars in foreign aid into the PA, with no strings attached. After Arafat’s return, the PA reintroduced inciting Jordanian texts to replace texts cleared by Israel, and broadcast vitriolic incitement on its radio and TV stations, sanctioned the same in mosques, and in parallel, used diplomatic forums — the UN and its various committees, to broadcast messages of dehumanization, demonization, delegitimization, disinformation, defamation and Holocaust denial. The delegitimization was both explicit, i.e. explicitly challenging Israel’s right to exist, and invisible, i.e. taking the form of ignoring Israel’s existence in texts, maps and statements. To make things worse, corruption and waste –created a climate conducive to scapegoating Israel for Arafat's colossal failures to establish the institutions of an emerging state and his brutal suppression of all those opposed to him. The fact that Arafat’s regime was not only corrupt, but authoritarian meant that the incitement was coercive, directing and intimidating. Today, the current regime in the PA remains heavy-handed and corruption remains a major problem. The fact that much of the population remains traditionally religious, and religious motifs contain many strong anti-Semitic motifs, creates a cultural environment more receptive to motifs of Hate Language and incitement of traditional texts. Furthermore, the coercive religious framework does not allow young people to express themselves freely and think independently. The environment of incitement goes along with the environment of suppression of human rights.

There were only a few who predicted the catastrophic outcomes in the aftermath of the Oslo Accords. Following Oslo, there was a surge in deaths from terror despite a formal peace agreement and huge amounts of economic aid. There were no pressures to terminate incitement. Following the Second Intifada terror attacks, (Sept 2000), 1,133 Israelis and an estimated 5,144 Palestinians (including 952 children) were killed. By late 2002, Israel had crushed the second Intifada terror attacks, and in 2003 Arafat died after being kept in virtual captivity in his own headquarters. From Oslo onward, the PA continued its incitement, with Arafat in particular making many inflammatory speeches calling for Jihad and emancipation of all of Palestine, and the PA's radio and TV broadcast educational programs glorifying Shahidism. The PA continued its incitement - in texts, TV programs and mosques, but Israel’s heavy military presence ensured a relative degree of quiet.
Following Israel's withdrawal from Gaza, huge amounts of aid to Gaza have done nothing to stop the effects of incitement and the subsequent Hamas putsch. Hamas used Jihadist religious motifs for conveying messages of dehumanization and demonization. Its coercive control went hand in hand in with recruiting what have been called “surplus young males” living off of foreign aid. These men had little to no work, and many were easy prey for Hamas’ recruitment campaigns using jihadist religious motifs. These recruits launched thousands of rocket attacks on civilians in Israel and participated in terror attacks. Incessant Jihadist genocidal anti-semitic incitement was the sentinel early warning signs anticipating these attacks.

b. The Situation Today in the PA

Despite abundant economic aid, Hamas, which rules Gaza, remains an Islam fascist organization whose platform calls for the destruction of Israel and explicitly incites children to perform acts of terror, glorified as martyrdom. Hamas uses school texts, places of worship, children’s TV programs, and summer camps to recruit the young as child terrorists or soldiers and explicitly propagates dehumanizing motifs (25). The PA and Fatah, which are considered to be less extreme organizations, generate less explicit incitement, but use messages with subtexts which demonize and delegitimize (26). The PA has also decided to name streets after suicide terrorists. Recently there has been a trend away from direct dehumanization and instead the preachers use ugly epidemiologic metaphors and simple delegitimization.






7. Conclusion:

In conclusion, the history of the Arab-Israeli conflict, especially in the last two decades, repudiates the validity of the hypothesis that “economic peace” can be relied upon to override risks for conflict which derive from the effects of incitement and Hate Language.

There is a simpler more direct type of evidence for the effects of incitement on group and individual norms and behavior: This is the evidence from Everyday Life. How many Israelis can wander freely and safely on Palestinian Streets? How many Palestinians feel free to openly meet with Israelis without fear of ostracism or physical threats?

If there will be economic peace and formal agreements on the so-called core issues — (Borders, Security, Refugees, Settlements, Jerusalem and Water), past evidence suggests that peace will not be sustainable without dealing with the real core issue: an end to Hate Language and Incitement against Jews and the State of Israel and promotion of positive measures of respect and dignity for all. In any case without an end to Hate Language and Incitement, it will not be possible to reach agreements on the above. If, in coming years, there will be an end to Hate Language and Incitement, the possibility remains there will be a stronger environment for a more sustainable win-win agreements. So whatever the future will bring, it will be a better one for Israelis and Palestinians if there is an end to all forms of Hate Language and Incitement now.

It will be better still if there is a commitment to promoting positive messages of a culture of peace and promotion of what is called Positive Deviance—imitating the best, not the worst, Respect for Life (R4L) and Human Dignity (HD) and Live and Let Live (L&LL). Such a commitment means the need to upgrade current commercial and economic exchanges and agreements –i.e. "economic peace", into a broader vision of promoting a culture of peace that gives priority to regional win-win strategies for Water for Life (W4L), regional approaches to disaster prevention and response, and protection and promotion of sustainable strategies for regional development.

The lesson of the past decades is that leaders say what they mean and mean what they say—to their people, and that these messages shape norms and expectations which themselves define the boundaries of what the leaders themselves can do or not do. What the leaders do to end Incitement and Hate Language in all forms, in the media, texts, religious places of worship, street signs and road maps, and diplomatic statements -- and not what they say in enclosed meetings to other diplomats -- has to be the measure of action. The airwaves are now Israel’s major battlefront.
Equally important is what these leaders do to promote positive messages of peace, respect for life and human dignity of all, and live and let live. Now, the situation has been made worse by internet incitement, even without state sponsorship.
State sanctioned Hate Language and Incitement increases risk for violence and conflict. The failure of negotiators and mediators to recognize the enduring impacts of intergenerational transmission of hatred on the young is the most astounding fact concerning the Mideast conflict. What is even more astounding is the failure to take action to counter this intergenerational hatred. It is time to redefine this situation as unacceptable, in the same way that mid 19th century reformers decided, once for all, to introduce a city sewerage system of drainage to get rid of the sewage filling the streets of London for hundreds of years.

All the foregoing has direct bearing not only on Israel’s demands and negotiating position, and but no less important, for the role of well-meaning mediators.

We propose region-wide strategies for intervention to prevent Hate Language and Incitement, based on public health models of predict and prevent. These strategies based on epidemiologic surveillance for the warning signs of genocidal Jihadist terror and conflict to trigger interventions grounded in international laws to prevent and punish incitement to genocide.

Here is a suggested platform for those working for the substance of a sustained peace:

1. The leaders of the PA and Israel, and for that matter, the entire region, have to take responsibility for putting an end to all official incitement in all forms and all settings.

2. There is a need for a region-wide network of surveillance of hate language and incitement, from state sponsored or state protected sources (ministries, religious authorities, texts, schools, diplomatic representatives and media). An end to Palestinian incitement must be part of a region-wide end to incitement. All the countries in the region have to commit themselves to ending incitement. Demanding action to achieve this goal should not await action on all the other issues: Security, Borders, Refugees, Settlements, Jerusalem, and Water.

To those who believe not enough is being done to promote a negotiated settlement, we say: Without an end to incitement and Hate Language, there is no hope for a sustainable agreement on the so-called core issues.

If Words Kill, they can be put to Work to Promote Life.




END




Endnote:

Barry Rubin of GLORIA noted that Dr Imad Mustafa, a senior cleric at Al Azhar in Cairo has publicly come up with a new concept, one supposedly restricted to groups like al-Qaida: “Then there is another type of fighting against the non- Muslims known as offensive jihad... which is to pursue the infidels into their own land without any aggression [on their part]..” (27)

On the same day this statement came out, one of us participated in a school gathering of Israeli and Palestinian children in Abu Tor to promote live and let live in Jerusalem.


References:

(1) Richter Elihu D, Stein Yael, Barnea-Burnley Alex, Sherman Marc. Can we prevent Genocide by preventing Incitement? Case Western Reserve University. Kelvin Smith Library. November 2009.
http://hdl.handle.net/2186/ksl:riccan00/riccan00.pdf

(2) Winter J. Al Qaeda Looks to Make New 'Friends' - on Facebook. December 09, 2010. Fox News.com
http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/12/09/facebook-friends-terror/

(3) Burdman D. Education, Indoctrination, and Incitement: Palestinian Children on their way to Martyrdom. Terrorism and Political Violence. 1556-1836. Volume 15. Issue 1. 2003.

(4) Bostom AG. The Legacy of Islamic Antisemitism: From Sacred Texts to Solemn History. Prometheus Books. April 2008 Reprint, 768pp

(5) Fishman J – Review of: Faber K, Schoeps JH and Stawski S. A State-of-the-Art Contribution to Our Knowledge of Contemporary Anti-Semitism. Neu-alter Judenhass: Antisemitismus, arabisch-israelischer Konflikt und europäische Politik. (New-Old Jew Hatred: Anti-Semitism, the Arab-Israeli Conflict, and European Policy)
http://www.jcpa.org/JCPA/Templates/ShowPage.asp?DRIT=3&DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=111&FID=624&PID=0&IID=1663&TTL=Joel_Fishman_on_Neu-alter_Judenhass:_Antisemitismus,_arabisch-israelischer_Konflikt_und_europ%C3%A4ische_Politik

(6) Küntzel Matthias. Hitler's Legacy: Islamic anti-Semitism in the Middle East – the Impact of the Muslim Brotherhood. Invited Paper at Institution for Social and Policy Studies. Yale University. November 30, 2006. http://spme.net/cgi-bin/articles.cgi?ID=3008

(7) Syrian Actress Amal 'Arafa: Hatred of Israel is in Our Genes and Blood. Al-Hirwa TV. 4 October 2008. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5Os4pdjtZ0

(8) Saudi Arabia school textbook: "Language exercise, Facilitating the Rules of the Arabic Language", Grade 9, pt. 2 (1999) p. 24. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/SA/SA2003_ch5.pdf

(9) Saudi Arabia school textbook: "Dictation", Grade 8, pt. 1 (2000) p. 24. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/SA/SA2003_ch5.pdf

(10) Egyptian school textbook: "Islamic Religious Education", Grade 4, Part 1, (2002) pp. 32-34. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education.

(11) Egyptian school textbook: "Islamic Education", Grade 10, (2002) p. 39. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education.

(12) Egyptian school textbook: "Selections for the Explanation of [the Book of] “Selection” ", Grade 9 (2002), p. 103. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education.

(13) Egyptian school textbook: "Commentary on the Surahs of Muhammad, Al-Fath, Al-Hujurat and Qaf", Grade 11, (2002) p. 24. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education.

(14) Egyptian TV, MEMRI - The Middle East Media Research Institute. February 11, 2009.
http://www.memri.org/report/en/0/0/0/0/0/51/4029.htm

(15) Egyptian Cleric Ahmad 'Eid Mihna: The Jews Are Behind Misery, Hardship, Usury, and Whorehouses. Egyptian TV. Inter Arab Relations. Video Clip. MEMRI - The Middle East Media Research Institute. http://www.memri.org/clip/en/0/0/0/0/0/0/2409.htm

(16) See chapter on “Israel’s Image” in various CMIP reports on PA schoolbooks. http://www.edume.org

(17) Palestinian school textbook: "History of the Modern and Contemporary World", Grade 10 (2004), p. 63). IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. Available at: http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/PA/PA2008.pdf

(18) Palestinian school textbook: "History of the Modern and Contemporary World", Grade 10 (2004), p. 63. (Sergey Nilos was the Russian author of this notorious document, under the auspices of the czarist secret police.) IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/PA/PA2008.pdf

(19) Palestinian school textbook: "Reading and Texts", Grade 8, Part 2 (2002), p. 16. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/PA/PA2008.pdf

(20) MEMRI - The Middle East Media Research Institute. Inter Arab Relations. January 4, 2010. http://www.memri.org/report/en/0/0/0/0/0/51/3877.htm

(21) Al-Aqsa (Hamas) TV, Sept. 22, 2009. Palestinian Media Watch. http://www.palwatch.org/main.aspx?fi=157&doc_id=1339

(22) VIDEO / Israel rebukes Turkey over brutish TV portrayal of IDF. Haaretz. 1 January, 2009.
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1121061.html

(23) Turkish TV series angers Israel. BBC News. 15 October, 2009
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8308124.stm

(24) Israel Protests Turkish TV Series About Palestine. The New York Times. 15 October, 2009 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/world/middleeast/16israel.html

(25) Antisemitism on Egypt’s Al-Rahma TV. MEMRI Special Dispatch No. 2466. 30 July 2009. http://www.memri.org/bin/articles.cgi?Page=subjects&Area=antisemitism&ID=SP246609





(26) Marcus, I. PA Libels, Lies, and Distortions. Palestinian Media Watch. http://www.pmw.org.il/




(27) Rubin Barry. Two Big Developments: Lebanon: Government Falls; Egypt/Islam: Jihad? We're Just Getting Started! The Rubin Report. January 14, 2011. http://rubinreports.blogspot.com/2011/01/two-big-developments-lebanon-government.html



Stotsky S. Foreign Aid and Palestinian Violence: An Uncomfortable Correlation. December 17, 2007. CAMERA – Committee for Accuracy in Middle East Reporting in America.
http://www.camera.org/index.asp?x_context=2&x_outlet=118&x_article=1411





Can there be Peace without Stopping Incitement and Hate Language?

Key Excerpts

Currently, there is an asymmetry between Israel's quest for peace, safety and security as a Jewish state and varying degrees of Muslim rejectionism. Israel's goal is full acceptance of its existence, security, safety as a State and respect for its right to sovereignty as a Jewish State. Israel seeks the kind of normal relationships that prevail between the US and Canada, and between the EU countries. No Muslim country, including those which are Israel’s neighbors, promotes education for peace with Israel, based on mutual respect between countries and their populations. Within the Islamic world, there is a spectrum of positions ranging from acceptance of a cold peace to a state of cease fire to encouraging genocidal terror and genocide...
…The failure to end Incitement and Hate Language and to promote peace based on mutual respect between the Arab and wider Islamic world and Israel and world Jewry is the core problem underlying the so-called Mid East conflict.
….If there will be economic peace and formal agreements on the so-called core issues — (Borders, Security, Refugees, Settlements, Jerusalem and Water), past evidence suggests that peace will not be sustainable without dealing with the real core issue: an end to Hate Language and Incitement and promotion of positive measures of respect and dignity for all. In any case without an end to Hate Language and Incitement, it will not be possible to reach agreements on the above. If, in coming years, there will be an end to Hate Language and Incitement, even without an agreement now The possibility remains there will be a stronger environment for a more sustainable win-win agreements...
Promoting positive messages, Respect for Life (R4L) and Human Dignity (HD) and Live and Let Live (L&LL) are central to a culture of peace. Positive Deviance—imitating the best, not the worst - will augment the campaign against incitement. Such a commitment means the need to upgrade current commercial and economic exchanges and agreements –i.e. "economic peace", into a broader vision of promoting a culture of peace that gives priority to regional win-win strategies for Water for Life (W4L), regional approaches to disaster prevention and response, and promotion of sustainable strategies for regional development.

…..The lesson of the past decades is that leaders say what they mean and mean what they say to their people, and that these messages shape norms and expectations which themselves define the boundaries of what the leaders themselves can or cannot do. It is what the leaders do to end Incitement and Hate Language in all forms, in the media, texts, religious places of worship, street signs and road maps, and diplomatic statements -- and not what they say in closed meetings to other diplomats -- that has to be the measure of action. Equally important is what they do to promote positive messages of peace, respect for life and human dignity, and live and let live. State sanctioned Hate Language and Incitement increases risk for genocidal terror and violence. Now, the situation has been made worse by internet incitement.

An end to Incitement and Hate Language is an absolute precondition for any agreement. Without it, there may never be any sustainable agreement. The negotiations will either succeed, or fail in producing the first steps towards a sustainable agreement or produce some kind of interim stalemate without war, terror, or violence. The bottom line measure of success or failure is the number of terror episodes and their victims. The airwaves TV screens and internet are now Israel’s major battlefront.

The failure of negotiators and mediators to recognize the enduring impacts of intergenerational transmission of hatred on the young is the most astounding fact concerning the Mideast conflict. What is even more astounding is the failure to take action to counter this intergenerational hatred. We propose region-wide strategies for intervention to prevent Hate Language and Incitement, based on public health models of predict and prevent. These strategies are based on epidemiologic surveillance for the warning signs of genocidal Jihadist terror and conflict. These strategies can be used to trigger interventions grounded in international laws to prevent and punish incitement to genocide.



Read more!

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

HUMANITARIAN SHOW

This article - by journalist Ben-Dror Yemini - has been published in Hebrew on Maariv.
We repost with permission of the author.



Additional humanitarian aid flotillas from Lebanon, Iran and the West are en route to the Gaza Strip. But the plight of the Turks, Iranians and the Palestinians in Lebanon is worse. Even in Stockholm and Glasgow amidst the festivities. Here are the facts.

Turkey was the most prominent country in the recent flotilla. From there came the Mavi Marmara with members from an organization (IHH) affiliated with Global Jihad. Lebanon is dispatching a ship that is due to arrive, perhaps in the coming days. Even Iran, that bastion of humanitarian justice on Earth, is joining the party. Thus, it would be worthwhile to check what is happening in these compassionate and strong countries, which are showing such noteworthy generosity in dispatching humanitarian aid to a weaker and depressed population. A representative has even arrived from Sweden, Gil Feiler, a former Israeli. Thus, we will also deal with Sweden.

Dead in Turkey; alive in Gaza

Infant mortality is one of the most important indicators in checking the humanitarian situation. It is clear that the situation in Turkey is worse than it is in the Gaza Strip. Infant mortality in Gaza is 17.71 per thousand; in Turkey it is 24.84. The Gaza Strip is in a much better situation than the global average, which is 44 infants per 1,000 births. It is also better than most of the Arab countries and several South American countries, and is certainly better than Africa.

Life expectancy is another important indicator. And here, life expectancy in Turkey is 72.23, whereas in the Gaza Strip it is 73.68, much higher than the global average of 66.12. In comparison, life expectancy is 63.36 in Yemen, 52.52 in Sudan and 50 in Somalia. These countries are crying out for international attention, for aid, for any rescue ship. But none come.

Regarding population growth, the Gaza Strip is ranked 6th, with a growth rate of 3.29% per annum. This may not be an indicator for quality of life but it seems that the high rate of growth, along with the high life expectancy, and the low infant mortality rate, attests to one thing. There is no hunger, no humanitarian crisis and tales of 1,001 nights from 1,001 human rights organizations. Most of the world's inhabitants are – according to objective data – in a worse situation than the residents of the Gaza Strip. This includes those who live in Turkey under Erdogan's rule.

Even by other indicators, such as personal computer use, or Internet access, the situation of the residents of the Gaza Strip is much better than that of most of the world's inhabitants. In order to complete the picture, let us point out that two years ago, a British politician claimed that life expectancy in Glasgow East was much lower than that in the Gaza Strip. The claim caused an uproar. Britain's Channel 4 carried out a scrupulous check and issued its "verdict": Indeed, life expectancy in Glasgow is lower than that in the Gaza Strip.

Thus, it is a little strange that humanitarian aid comes from people whose situation is much worse, and goes to people whose situation is much better. It could be that there is a need for additional ships. But the direction should be reversed. It is Turkey that needs the help. It is the Gaza Strip which should join the aid delegation for the benefit of the poor Turks.
Lebanese apartheid

One of the bans imposed by Israel deals with building materials. Experience has shown that materials that reach the Gaza Strip do not serve the residents but Hamas's military goals. Thus, no sane country, and let us hope that Israel is one of them, would supply an enemy organization with materials from which the bunkers for the struggle against it would be built.

Here as well, a reminder is needed. Hundreds of thousands of Palestinians live in a neighboring country, Lebanon. They are located in refugee camps and live under many and various restrictions, that should be dealt with separately, in a chapter on Arab apartheid against the Palestinians. In our matter, one of the most severe restrictions is a ban on construction. Simply put, it is forbidden to build. Not a home, nor a room, nor any permanent structure. Even in the Nahr al-Bared refugee camp, which was bombed by the Lebanese (The story is well-known: A radical Islamist takeover, which led to savage bombing that turned the camp into ruins). The extensive damage caused 27,000 of the camp's 30,000 inhabitants to become refugees again. They paid a heavy price for the fact that a mere 450 men were members of a rebel group Fatah Al-Islam. The struggle against radical Islam, which tried to establish itself in the camp, was used as a pretext for the vast devastation that was caused. It is interesting to ask why the world encouraged Lebanon to be heavy-handed, while Israel is asked to knuckle under. There are donations for reconstruction, there is also agreement for this, but the Lebanese government is creating difficulties. Thus is done to people whose plight and refugee status the Arab world wishes to make permanent.

Iranian humanitarianism

Let us not forget Iran. According to every possible indicator, the situation there is worse. Infant mortality, for example, is 34.66 per 1,000 births, double (!) that of the Gaza Strip. Life expectancy is 71.43, less than the Gaza Strip and less than Turkey. With the imposition of Sharia law in the Hamas Strip, as in Iran, and when stoning women becomes the norm, one may assume that the residents of the Strip will deteriorate to Iranian levels. It was only this week that news came from Iran of a 43-year-old woman, Sakineh Mohamamadi e Ashtiani, is in danger of being stoned, following a trial for adultery. But in the meantime, only in the meantime, it is preferable for aid to go from Gaza to Iran. Let us hope that Egypt will allow passage through the Suez Canal.

Intifada in Sweden

And what about Sweden? Indeed, there is no occupation there. There are no well-financed agencies from the industry of lies to disseminate around the world the news of Swedish "apartheid" against Muslims. They were welcomed with open arms. The first and second generations live there. But last month riots broke out there. The rioters burned a school in "Little Mogadishu", the name of the quarter in which they live, in Stockholm. Police and firefighters who arrived to deal with the fire were met by a hail of stones. They did not succeed in reaching the blaze. Not that the Swedes abused them. On the contrary. But in the eyes of the Muslim youths, the Swedes, apparently, are a band of white racists who repress them relentlessly. The riots began because some youths were not admitted to a school dance. Not that there was a racist background to this "discrimination" but the response was stormy. A mini-intifada. This story garnered no headlines around the world. The riots lasted a few days. In the end, a school was burned to the ground, cars and buses were set alight. All in all, a localized clash. True, this occurred in other cities in Sweden. And it has occurred in other cities in Europe. But it has not happened in Gaza, or Jaffa, or Jerusalem. Thus there is nothing to get excited over. There is no need for any number of television stations to say that Sweden is a repressive state. There is no need to deny Sweden's right to exist.

It might be necessary – who knows – to send humanitarian aid to this repressed area in Stockholm, and maybe a mobile school. Details about the next flotilla to Stockholm will be published soon on human rights websites.

An un-humanitarian obsession

Most inhabitants of the world are worse off than the residents of the Gaza Strip. American aid per capita to the Gaza Strip is 7.5 times higher than aid per capita to Haiti. It is unnecessary to note that by any possible indicator, economic or medical, the residents of the Gaza Strip are incomparably better off than the residents of Haiti. The residents of the Gaza Strip are also better off, by every possible indicator, than the Palestinians in Lebanese refugee camps. But we have not seen demonstrations in solidarity with those suffering in Lebanon; and no aid flotillas either. It is not even enough to be a Palestinian. One must be a Palestinian who can say, "It is all Israel's fault." What is true is that it is thanks to Israel that the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip are better off than most of their brethren in the neighboring countries. Because of the "brutal" occupation, life expectancy in the Gaza Strip rose from 48 in 1967 to 66 in 1993 and, as we have shown, life expectancy is continuing to rise. By the way, this is an astounding increase, higher than in the neighboring countries. But please, let us not confuse a "human rights activist" on the aid flotilla with the facts. They do not send aid flotillas to Iran, Lebanon or Turkey, and certainly not to Darfur in the Sudan. The humanitarian distress does not interest them. It is the anti-Israel obsession that interests them. This is not to say that they cannot be presented with the facts. They want to embarrass Israel. But the basic facts, and this is the truth, are likely to embarrass them.


None of the foregoing is to say that there is no true distress in Gaza. There certainly is, even if according to objective data, it is worse in Turkey, Iran and Lebanon. Israel has an interest for it to be better in Gaza, that the standard of living should rise, that the economy should flourish. Israel disengaged in order to disengage, so that Gazans might develop an independent life. But the Hamas takeover has led to a situation in which instead of developing and producing, the only development is the Kassam rocket. The blockade was imposed because the regime in Hamas refuses to recognize previous agreements, refuses to recognize Israel and refuses to enter into the path of peace and reconciliation. The regime in Gaza chose incitement and joining Iran and Global Jihad. And despite this, everything could change in a day. If Hamas would only decide to accept the Quartet's conditions, not Israel's. The keys are in Hamas's hands.

Friday, July 2, 2010

From Nobelist Sakharov to Nobelist Obama: Notes on the first anniversary of the crushed Iranian protest movement

Professor Elihu D Richter MD MPH

Hebrew University-Hadassah School of Public Health and Community Medicine Genocide Prevention Program

Two years ago, strolling down Jerusalem‘s Aza Street, I picked up a worn yellowed thin paperback copy of Sakharov Speaks, a collection of the writings of the nuclear scientist who founded the Human Rights Committee in the Soviet Union in 1970. The pages may be yellowed but the words come to life decades later. The first anniversary of the Iranian government s brutal suppression and crackdown of protests against the rigged results of its national elections has just passed. What Sakharov had to say back then about the Western world’s response to Soviet repression is a striking indictment of the world\s tepid response to the Iranian crackdown and repression now.

In the 1950’s, Andrei Sakharov was awarded the Stalin Prize for his theoretical work on the hydrogen bomb. Appalled by the dangers of nuclear arms race and the heavy handedness of the Soviet regime, he became a dissident devoted to human rights. He and his wife Elena Bonner were later exiled to Siberia. To show support for Sakharov, the Nobel Committee awarded him the Nobel Prize for Peace in 1975. In an interview with a foreign correspondent, Sakharov was asked if what was then called rapprochement would lead to democratization of Soviet Society, and what would happen if there was rapprochement without democratization.

Here is what Sakharov had to say, somewhat paraphrased and edited. “Rapprochement in which the west, in effect accepts the Soviet Union rules of the game would be dangerous, because it would not really solve any of the world\s problems and would mean simply capitulating to real or exaggerated Soviet power. It would mean an attempt to trade with the Soviet Union, buying its gas and oil, while ignoring all other aspects. Such a development would be dangerous because it would have serious repercussions inside the Soviet, Union”

Furthermore, “It would contaminate the whole world with the anti –democratic peculiarities of Soviet society….As a result, ..,the world would become disarmed and helpless while facing our uncontrollable bureaucratic apparatus.” (italics mine)

Here is his punch line: “Rapprochement, were it to proceed totally without qualifications, on Soviet terms, … would pose a serious threat to the world as a whole.”



Now let’s do a simple thought experiment in history and current events. Take the word rapprochement and replace it with engagement. Do the same for Soviet Union and Iran.



Back then, Western governments listened to several resolute individuals, notably Senator Henry Jackson, and the world stood up to threats posed by Soviet tyranny, repression and mischief making. Sakharov called for adoption of the Jackson Amendment which linked trade to unrestricted emigration –later Basket 4 of the Helsinki Accords. The Soviets, desperate for Western technology, accepted the accords. The emigration triggered by Helsinki Accords started the ball rolling towards the loosening up and eventual break-up of the Soviet system in the 1990’s.

And we see the results. Just a few days ago, as I was writing this piece, a Russian student (in our program for international students) came in to browse through Sakharov’s book as a few of us searched for some references for her work on air pollution in Ashkelon. Another Russian student is doing a project on air pollution in Bet Shemesh, a satellite city outside Jerusalem. A third is doing a PhD on road injury epidemiology in Vladimir, the first capital of old Russia, where Raul Wallenberg was imprisoned. All is free, relaxed and open.

Today, world leaders continue to ignore groups standing up for human rights of dissidents in Iran. They fail to invoke the existing tools of international law to indict Ahamadinejad for incitement to genocide, and have done little to stop the metastasis spread of genocidal Islamic jihadist incitement, now, dangerously spreading to Turkey.

So again: “It would contaminate the whole world with the anti –democratic peculiarities of [Iranian and Islamist] society….As a result, ..,the world would become disarmed and helpless. [Engagement] were it to proceed totally without qualifications, on Iranian (or Islamist] terms, … would pose a serious threat to the world as a whole.”

Many Western elites, academics, and intellectuals appear to be succumbing to the assault on the core values of respect for life and human dignity. In the name of multiculturalism, they condone such assaults on these values. Last November, over dinner in an elegant restaurant in Lodz, an epidemiologist, the holder of a prestigious chair in a major Scottish university, after holding forth on Israel’s evils, told that the values of multiculturalism lead him to excuse stoning in Iran. This remark, made over wine and pasta, came just after he described in detail his tour of the Lodz ghetto. Despite his declared commitment to positivism as a basis for prioritization and decision making in public health, he was uninterested in the statistic that 614 of every 615 Muslims killed since WW2, fell in wars, genocidal conflicts, massacres, and terror attacks between Muslims.

|So far, the policies of the 1st recent Nobel Peace Prize winner, President Obama .seem to represent everything Sakharov warned against. The clenched fist has become a limp wrist. Obama so far appears to have distanced himself from those who are democratic and free, and continues to appease tyrants and rogue states who assault life and respect for life, the most basic of all human rights.

Sakharov was clairvoyantly prophetic about what he called rapprochement—aka engagement-- without democracy resulting in the contamination of the West with the peculiarities of those opposing its values. The contamination has reached into the Nobel Committee. –and I suggest, President Obama himself.

Sakharov was a lonely prisoner of conscience exiled to Siberia when the Nobel Committee recognized him for protesting repression. It continued the tradition in 1989, when it awarded the prize to the Dalai Lama. Last year, the Committee awarded Obama the same prize, even though his messages have telegraphed a high degree of indifference to state repression, brutality and evil in Iran, North Korea and other members of what I call the Axis of Genocide and Genocidal Terror. So far, Obama appears to be shadowboxing with genocide, genocidal terror, and evil.

So this anniversary of the Tehran crackdown is the time to heed the quiet words of fire on the yellowed pages of the book I bought on Aza Street. They hold true ever more today. Today Iran continues to brutally suppress its dissidents and members of non-Islamic religious groups. It executes minors, imprisons homosexuals, and tortures and harasses political dissidents, whose gallantry SPME saluted in its conference on Iran last November in Cleveland. Its leaders incite to genocide, equip and train genocidal terrorists, and illegally pursue the development of nuclear weaponry. Iran has become the epicenter of an axis of incitement to genocide, genocidal massacres and genocidal terror. The members of this axis are North Korea, Sudan, Syria, Gaza, and there is the danger that Turkey is teetering on the brink. The chattering classes of the West, notably Western Europe, are averting their gaze. Political and intellectual elites seem to lack the will to confront the Islamist threat, and bow and kowtow to the cults of death, darkness and medievalism more sinister than those posed by the Soviets. An Australian feminist is famously quoted as saying that multiculturalism means that stoning is no different from wearing high heels. The West has become hesitant in standing up for its core values: respect for life, the dignity of the individual, democracy and unfettered inquiry, and the rights of women. Has Western dhimmitude required us to coin a new term--timiditude?

Failure to counter the epicenters of jihadist suppression of human rights, incitement to genocide, genocidal massacres and genocidal terror has already, to paraphrase Sakharov’s words, contaminated the whole world with the anti –democratic peculiarities of [Iranian and Islamist] society.

Will we wake up? The clock is ticking. Lately, there have been some stirrings to suggest a possibility of change in direction, in keeping with Sakharov’s legacy. Everything is determined, but choice is given.

Professor Elihu D Richter MD MPH Genocide Prevention Program Hebrew University-Hadassah School of Public Health and Community Medicine

Jerusalem Israel

I thank Professors Israel Charny and Sam Edelman, Drs Yael Stein, Ed Beck, and Joel Fishman for comments and encouragement.

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

New Resource on International Law: Genocide and Crimes Against Humanity

This resource was sent to us by Sara Weisman - Outreach Coordinator, Committee on Conscience at the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum.

She wrote:

As the Review Conference of the International Criminal Court begins this week in Kampala, I wanted to share a few new resources from the Committee on Conscience at the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum.

On our website, http://www.ushmm.org/genocide/int_law/, you will find a series of articles, podcasts, and eyewitness testimonies that describe the evolving international framework for preventing and punishing genocide and crimes against humanity along with an introduction to the International Criminal Court.

While on our website, I encourage you to visit new content from a seminar hosted by the Museum titled “Speech, Power, Violence” http://www.ushmm.org/genocide/spv/. The seminar assembled experts from many different fields who shared research, knowledge and insights on the role of hate speech in situations of genocide and related crimes against humanity. View our executive summary which outlines the key findings from the seminar.

Can we prevent Genocide by preventing Incitement?

Elihu D Richter MD MPH, Yael Stein MD, Alex Barnea, MA and Marc Sherman MLS



Genocide Prevention Program of Hebrew University-Hadassah School of Public Health and Community Medicine

and

World Genocide Situation Room
Genocide Prevention Now (GPN)
of the Institute on the Holocaust and Genocide

www.genocidepreventionnow.org


Wars are not fought for territory, but for words.
Man's deadliest weapon is language.
He is susceptible to being hypnotized by slogans as he is to infectious diseases.
And where there is an epidemic, the group mind takes over.
Arthur Koestler 1978


This article is based a presentation at the SPME conference on Iran in sponsored by Case Western Reserve in Cleveland in November 2009 and two sequential postings on www.genocidepreventionnow.org and is published with permission of Institute on the Holocaust and Genocide

We thank Scholars for Peace in the Middle East for partial support.

Acknowledgments: We thank Jacey Macrae, Isabella Glaser, and Laura Seton, for research and editorial assistance, and David Lisbona, Professors Israel Charny, Greg Gordon and Greg Stanton for editorial suggestions, advice and encouragement



Executive Summary


Genocide and its prevention both result from human choice and bystander indifference. Since the Armenian genocide, and the Holocaust, perpetrators have used dehumanizing metaphors to prepare their followers to overcome normative inhibitions that stand in the way of their becoming killers, rapists, and plunderers of members of potential victim populations. Today, one lesson from the Holocaust is that there are existential dangers associated with ignoring state sanctioned dehumanizing hate language. Not all hate language and incitement leads to genocide, and genocide can occur without hate language and incitement. There can be hate language with and without explicit incitement, propagated by rogue regimes.


We suggest that the spread of such dehumanizing hate language drives a new world-wide axis of genocide, which is now recycling the motifs of genocidal -Semitism of Nazi Germany and the Islamists. We examine the differences in impact and importance of between public and person-to-person “kitchen-table” incitement

We present a thumbnail chronology and trace the pseudo-scientific origins of state sanctioned hate language and incitement which started with the Armenian Genocide. We present as case studies, Hitler’s Holocaust, and former Yugoslavia (Bosnia) the Middle East, notably Iran, Cambodia, and Rwanda—the most famous example. In Darfur, incitement was below the radar screen, and in Kenya, incitement to killing spread by text messaging, In Sri Lanka, where two sites committed mass atrocities, there was no widely reported external evidence of incitement.


If state sanctioned hate language and incitement predict, promote and catalyze genocidal scenarios, there is a compelling case for applying models from epidemiology and public health which take us to prediction and prevention. This section examines concepts and tools of public health, preventive medicine and epidemiology—the field which studies the distribution and determinants of diseases in populations. These concepts and tools, first developed to control and eradicate microbial diseases transmitted by water, food, air-borne and person-to-person spread, have produced spectacular advances in identifying the risks and advancing prevention of chronic non-infectious diseases -- e.g. heart disease, cancer, mass disasters, injuries, and violence. These models include: Surveillance, the Mean determines the Extreme, Positive Deviance and the use of the Precautionary Principle.

We have noted that the case for preventing genocide by preventing hate language and incitement derives from the fact that the latter mobilize and motivate perpetrators and desensitize bystanders. Such prevention requires developing world-wide networks for epidemiologic surveillance of hate language and incitement. These networks would trigger interventions before perpetrators start carrying out mass atrocities against victim populations, exploiting existing legal and extra-legal interventions as well.


In conclusion, the perils of neglecting the propagation and spread of state sanctioned and state sponsored hate language and incitement are ominous, especially in an era of push-button genocide and nuclear terror, rogue regimes and terror groups. Conversely, when regimes inciting to genocide are developing weapons of mass destruction (WMD), the case is imperative for stopping them from doing so, given the fact that such incitement is an early warning sign until proven otherwise.


Will humankind test the efficacy of going from post-event intervention to Predict and Prevent, using the models from public health? The lessons of the Holocaust empower us to address prevention of hate language and incitement when they are used against all populations, without waiting for the consequences.



Introduction: Incitement and Genocide; Definitions, Chronology, Origins and Selected Case Studies

From the perspective of public health and preventive medicine, if genocide—the ranking cause of violent death in the 20th century-- 280 million,[i] [ii] is predictable, it should be preventable. Today, it is an oxymoron to refer to “preventing” genocide once the killing, raping, expulsions and plundering begins. But can most genocides be prevented by preventing state sanctioned dehumanizing hate language and incitement? If the answer is yes, the stakes are enormous for genocide prevention everywhere in the world.

We examine this question using concepts and tools of public health, preventive medicine and epidemiology—the field which studies the distribution and determinants of diseases in populations. These tools, first developed to control and eradicate microbial diseases transmitted by water, food, air-borne and person-to-person spread, have produced spectacular advances in identifying the risks and advancing prevention of chronic non-infectious diseases, --e.g. heart disease, cancer, mass disasters, injuries, and violence.

The use of dehumanizing hate language and incitement (HL&I) all too often predicts, initiates, promotes, and catalyzes genocide. HL&I are “out there”, definable and detectable. Since the Nuremberg trials and the UN Convention on the Prevention of Genocide and its Punishment, (UNGC), they are punishable as Crimes against Humanity.[iii]

This essay defines hate language and incitement, traces its use in promoting genocide and its pseudo-scientific origins and presents case studies, starting with the Armenian Genocide and the Holocaust


Hate language refers to terms which are used to stigmatize, demonize or dehumanize groups defined by their national, ethnic, religious, racial, or political identity.[iv] *Dehumanization in particular refers to hate language which includes metaphors-usually from public health and medicine-- which induce disgust, revulsion and hate for the other.[v]

Standard definitions of incitement refer to something that incites or provokes; a means of arousing or stirring to action.[vi] [vii] Perpetrators use hate language to incite groups to commit genocide and other mass atrocities directed against vulnerable populations. When mass murder is low tech, HL&I is indispensable for mobilizing and motivating huge numbers of persons to stab, mutilate, rape, bludgeon, shoot, gas, burn and bury large numbers of victims and plunder their homes. It was the gas chambers that killed at Auschwitz, but as Abraham Joshua Heschel wrote, "Auschwitz was built not with stones, but words." [viii] Equally important, perpetrators use HL&I to silence, intimidate and desensitize bystanders. Edmund Burke's famous quote reminds us that “For evil to flourish, all that is necessary is for good men to do nothing”[ix].



Section I:

Dehumanizing hate language and genocide: A thumbnail chronology


The Young Turk regime in 1915 called the genocide of Armenians the eradication of 'dangerous microbes' in the body politic.[x] Lenin described the bourgeoisie as parasites, insects, leeches, bloodsuckers.[xi]
Such dehumanizing terms went hand-in-hand with pseudo-medical terms for measures to get rid of disease. Stalin and Beria in the early 1930’s used artificially produced mass famines to kill millions of Ukranians,[xii] and used a pseudo-medical term --'purge' ('chitki') --when later deporting ('korenizatsiia') over two million members of ethnic minorities, former members of the bourgeois and kulak classes to slave labor camps in Siberia. Half a century later, in 1988, the Soviets used the term 'ethnic purge' ('etnicheskie chistki') to describe expulsions of Azerbaijanis from Nagorno-Karabakh.
Hitler called the Jews 'parasites, plague, cancer, tumor, bacillus, bloodsucker, blood poisoner, lice, vermin, bedbugs, fleas, racial tuberculosis' on the German body that would supposedly be killed with the 'Jewish disease.'[xiii] [xiv] Later, the Nazis used the term `Judenrein’ which means 'Jew-free', to stigmatize the victim group as a carrier of filth and disease, and then, as the disease itself to be eradicated. The term predated the term ‘ethnic cleansing’, a euphemism often used by perpetrators to justify their genocidal actions and by bystanders to rationalize inaction. [xv] Mao Tse Tung’s Communist revolutionaries in China used similar language when overseeing mass murders of their enemies[xvi], as did the North Koreans who used mass starvation to kill populations considered hostile to the Communist regime.[xvii] In the 1970’s, the Khmer Rouge regime in Cambodia used terms such as “microbes”, “parasites”, “worms” and cancer to stigmatize their victims as they carried out the mass murders of 3 million of their own countrymen.[xviii] In the early 1990’s, Radovic Karovic stigmatized Bosniaks as not “belonging to the family of nations, ...of desert origin, ...and originating from a specific gene of the Ottoman Army”.[xix] Thereafter, victims of Serbian genocide in Kosovo themselves killed many belonging to Roma minorities, whom they described as “majupi”, or lower than garbage. In the 1990’s in Rwanda, Hutu radio in 1994 used the term 'cockroaches' ('inyenzi') to incite mass murder of Tutsis by machete-wielding militias.[xx]


Hate language and its pseudoscientific origins


In the 20th century, endemic bigotry, xenophobic nationalism and racist biology created an ambience conducive to the spread of dehumanizing medical metaphors of hate language to stigmatize victim groups. This ambience both fed and was fed by the flawed constructs and pseudoscience of late 19th and early 20th century eugenics and social Darwinism. Eugenics sought to promote human progress by selection of groups and individuals considered to be genetically superior and best fit to survive and by restricting reproduction of the unfit, in keeping with distorted interpretations of Darwinian science. In the US, proponents of Eugenics provided the justifications for compulsory sterilization of inmates of mental institutions and for restrictive immigration.[xxi] In Germany, medical scientists used the ethically flawed constructs of eugenics to promote “racial hygiene” of Nazi Medicine and its horrors. Starting with euthanasia of mentally impaired, Nazi doctors became leaders in implementing the Final Solution to make Europe ‘Judenrein’ including many inhuman scientific medical experiments on Jewish subjects, regarded as lab specimens. Flawed theories of race led to classification of Rwandans into short Hutus and tall Tutsis differentiated by nose lengths, carefully measured by Belgian anthropologists. Notions of racial superiority provided similar rationales for racism in North America and South Africa In the 20th century and many other locales world wide.



State sponsored hate language and incitement as an early warning indicator in models of genocide


A classic model of genocide identifies dictatorship and asymmetric power relationships, past conflicts, unrest, political and economic failures and vulnerable target groups as circumstantial predictors.[xxii] [xxiii]This model does not address the role of hate language and incitement as intrinsic direct triggers of violent conflicts along racial, ethnic, religious or political lines

Charny’s Genocide Early Warning System[xxiv] and Stanton’s Eight Stages of Genocide pioneered in drawing attention to the use of language of hate, stigmatization and dehumanization by perpetrators to recruit, motivate and mobilize followers and deter bystanders. [xxv] Classification, Symbolization and Dehumanization, the first 3 of Stanton’s Eight Stages, all contain elements of incitement, and they lead to Organization, Polarization, Preparation, Extermination, and Denial.



Hate language and incitement: Public and Private


There is a need to recognize that not all hate language and incitement leads to genocide, and genocide may occur without evidence of hate language or incitement. Furthermore, there can be incitement without dehumanizing hate language, and hate language without incitement. The distinction between the two may be important for legal purposes, but their consequences are usually the same. Sometimes they go together and sometimes they do not (see below). Hate language and incitement together increase risks for genocide, especially when they come from the top down in authoritarian regimes with their environments of coercion, direction and instruction. Perpetrators sometimes commit genocide without explicit external hate language and open public incitement, such as when they deliberately seek to conceal their genocidal aims, e.g. exploiting famine, either from natural disaster or man-made, to starve populations they identify as enemies Often, so as to camouflage intent, perpetrators simultaneously project several different messages, aimed at different populations, at the same time. When the messages are in “local” language, vernaculars and dialect, i.e. not English the texts, subtexts, and contexts are disputable. One message is portrayed to the western free world, (for example, the leader might take on a role as protector of human rights). A second, is aimed at the potential victims--- in more explicit threatening language. A third message— the operational one— could be aimed at their own people – to incite to action, or to desensitize local bystanders.


Hate language without incitement and direction is present everywhere— and by itself, is generally not subject to legal prosecution.[xxvi] Racist, religious epithets and expressions of bigotry directed towards the other are endemic the world round, at the kitchen table, in the barroom, the locker room, (i.e. Archie Bunker), the market place, and the board room. The messages may be explicit, euphemistic or coded. It is difficult to regard such language, though offensive, as an early warning sign for genocide or mass atrocities, since its specificity and predictive value is so low, and it lacks a larger context of coercion, threat, direction, intimidation or danger. But from the standpoint of public health and social psychology, the use and spread of such language is the case for action for educational interventions, directed at the communities in which it is endemic—and becomes especially critical in the era of hate language and incitement spread by the internet. However, the past century has taught us that when leaders of movements or governments in power use explicit pseudo medical and epidemiologic metaphors, such as microbes, filth, cancer, typhoid, and rats, to dehumanize victim groups, it is prudent to regard such language as an urgent warning sign of imminent genocide, and the burden of proof is on those who deny their ominous portent. This burden of proof becomes heavier when perpetrators propagate notions of in-group exclusivity based upon myths of hygiene or purity, and when their incitement is accompanied by direction, instruction, supplying, informing, and supporting those who become the agents of genocidal actions. [xxvii]



Case Studies: Incitement, propaganda, and power


Europe: Nazi Germany -
Hate language and Incitement from the top down


During the 12 years in which they were in power, the Nazis, pioneered using mass media, radio, film, and the educational system to propagate their genocidal incitement, most virulently against Jews, but also against Roma, gays, trade unionists, socialists and communists.[xxviii] The totalitarian rule of Nazi Germany, with its control of all resources of the State, produced an environment of coercion, control, direction and instruction. Yet, evidence is not available that the Nazi’s propaganda explicitly and publicly declared that genocidal extermination of Jews and other groups was their objective. They concealed this objective from the outside world with euphemisms and code words (e.g. “Final Solution”, Aktion) and did everything they could to conceal the mass murders in the death camps. Nazi propaganda used scenes of rats juxtaposed with stereotypes of Jews, depicted as the carriers and purveyors of filth and disease, to induce disgust and revulsion. Goebbels used aggressive repetition of simple crude messages and images to propagate revulsion and hate towards Jews. He adopted the advertising techniques of Edward Bernays, a psychologist, who pioneered in the development of the phenomenally successful campaigns of the tobacco companies to create new mass markets for cigarettes. [xxix] [xxx] Campaigns of dehumanization and de-legitimization, which themselves followed classification and symbolization, produced willing killers and complicit bystanders.

Nazi campaigns to dehumanize Jews and others went hand in hand with highly public campaigns to promote and protect health and hygiene (‘Rassenhygiene’) in the Master Race. The organizers of these campaigns were far ahead of their time in promoting improved nutrition and exercise, summer youth camps in the countryside, self examination for breast cancer and industrial hygiene and safety. The Nazis used dehumanizing hate language to condition audiences to proceed from accepting a universal norm-- getting rid of disease in individuals, to accepting getting rid of diseased individuals, and then getting rid of groups of diseased individuals, to getting rid of groups considered to be the disease itself. Compulsory euthanasia of the inmates of mental institutions and the gas chambers followed. Dr Karl Astel, a high ranking Nazi physician who initiated public health campaigns to promote health and hygiene in the Master Race, supervised the use of gas chambers for extermination programs in the concentration camps. Astel saw himself as protecting the Master Race against the purveyors of disease, and was noted for his pioneering work in leading Nazi mass campaigns against smoking, even though the SS itself manufactured cigarettes to sell to soldiers.



Europe: Bosnia: Incitement as explicit threats without hate language


In Bosnia, more than 100,000 were killed, in Serbian ‘ethnic cleansing’, --often a euphemism for genocide [xxxi]--in the wake of the break-up of former Yugoslavia. Claims that genocide was restricted to the events of Srebrenica ignore evidence of Serbian intentions going back to 1991-2, including threats to annihilate the Bosnian Muslim community. On Oct 11 1991, Radovan Karadzic made the following statement: “In two-three days, Sarajevo will vanish and there will be 500,000 dead people. In a month, Muslims will disappear from Bosnia". Two days later, Karadzic also said: “First of all, none of their leadership would make it alive. They would all be killed in a matter of several hours. They would not even have a chance to survive.” [xxxii]

This incitement directly preceded Serbian genocidal mass killings of civilians, reports of hundreds of prison camps, 500,000 persons in detention, 50,000 tortured persons, 20,000 estimated rapes, and 151 mass graves.[xxxiii] [xxxiv]



The Middle East:

Dehumanizing Hate Language including Nazi Motifs, and Incitement, in the Muslim World


Nazi hate language was beamed by powerful radio transmitters directed at audiences throughout Europe and the Middle East. The dehumanizing and demonizing motifs of Nazi antisemitism spread to the Middle East, where they fused with the antisemitic motifs of Jihadist Islamic antisemitism.[xxxv] [xxxvi] [xxxvii] [xxxviii] Interestingly, fanatically theocratic cults which glorify death expropriated metaphors from a pagan cult of cleanliness and hygiene.

For decades, Wahabi propagandists from Saudi Arabia and Egyptian and Palestinian media have been spreading motifs strikingly similar to those of the Nazis. [xxxix] [xl] Yet, Egypt’s regime has what appears to be a durable peace treaty with Israel despite condoning hate language in media, school texts and places of worship, and sponsoring the broadcasting of recycled versions of the antisemitic myths of the "Protocols of the Elders of Zion".[xli] [xlii]

This is a scenario which for all practical purposes undermines any option for peace and reconciliation from the bottom up, even though there is a cold peace from the top down—and leaves open the possibility of future bloodshed.

Some excerpts from Saudi, Egyptian and Palestinian sources are presented in Appendix 1.



Iran


Iran is now the epicenter for official state sanctioned incitement to genocide. Since 1979, the leaders of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and most notably Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, have been using language identical to that of Hitler and other perpetrators, to demonize, dehumanize and delegitimize “Zionists”, a euphemism for Jews.[xliii] Although most Jews in Iran do not appear to be in physical danger, since the Islamic Revolution, on several occasions Jews have been subject to show trials, imprisoned for trumped up reasons or executed.[xliv] [xlv] Iranian state sponsored hate language and incitement [xlvi] goes beyond that of the Nazis in that it explicitly and openly calls for the annihilation of Israel, and its context is its secret development of nuclear weapons and missile delivery systems and support, direction and instruction of terror proxies carrying out its writ, notably Hamas and Hezbollah. Since the contested Iranian elections in June 2009, ruthless suppression of political dissent now goes hand in hand with these indicators of genocidal intent. Palestinian Media Watch has documented messages by Palestinian Authority figures in the media, educational system, and mosques, using collective labeling, creating a threat, and eliminating the threat.[xlvii] At the time of writing, we see the re-emergence of grotesque reports of Jews harvesting the organs of Muslims, recycling older metaphors of genocidal antisemitic demonization. [xlviii]



The Middle East: Children and intergenerational effects of hate language and incitement


Children are those most vulnerable to the effects of the toxic messages of incitement. Intergenerational transmission of hate messages led to antisemitic motifs becoming embedded in everyday Middle East political and social culture. Burden has summarized the effects of incitement of children living in authoritarian societies and family structures, in patterning their long term attitudes and future susceptibility to becoming suicide bombers.[xlix] [l] [li] Hamas, which rules Gaza, is a fascist terror organization whose platform calls for the destruction of Israel, and explicitly incites children acts of terror, glorified as martyrdom.[lii] Hamas uses school texts, places of worship, children’s TV programs, and summer camps to recruit the young as child terrorists or soldiers. [liii] The PA and Fatah, which are considered to be less extreme organizations, generate less explicit incitement, but use messages with subtexts which demonize and delegitimize, and preachers under their control have used dehumanizing metaphors to incite to hatred.[liv] The PA has also decided to name public places, such as schools and city squares after suicide terrorists. [lv] [lvi] [lvii]

Intergenerational transmission of hate language and incitement ensures the durability of the demonizing and dehumanizing motifs of antisemitism, now so deeply embedded in the Islamic world and reemerging in the western world. [lviii] Furthermore, repetition creates an environment for desensitizing bystanders, and undermines attempts at conflict resolution, based on mutual respect for human life and dignity and live-and-let-live. “Our hatred for Israel is in our genes”—a statement from Syrian actress Amal ‘Arafa, testifies to the enduring effects of an environment in which hate language is both embedded and endemic.[lix]



Africa - Rwanda: Common source from the top down: The role of the only radio station—800,000 dead


Since Streicher and Goebbels, the Rwandan Genocide is the most blatant and best studied example of how architects and perpetrators, using the most popular radio station in the country, mobilized, recruited motivated, directed and instructed the Interhambawe– to butcher some 800,000 Tutsis and Hutu moderates in Rwanda over a period of between 3 to 5 months in 1994. [lx] Hate language and incitement broadcast by Radio TV Libre Milles Collines (RTVLMC)–a private corporation set up by a consortium of higher-ups in the Rwandan government to bypass the prohibitions against governmental incitement of the Arusha Accords – powered the intense ferocity of killers. RTVLMC’s broadcasts were the major source of news and information for most of the Rwandan public, and therefore had enormous influence. Fig 1 presents a rough timeline of the sequence of warning indicators, (including incitement), killings, first reports and responses for this horrific story.


In Rwanda, the machetes were the hardware, but the words were the software of this campaign. RTVLMC began referring to individual Tutsi leaders, and then groups of Tutsis, as cockroaches (‘nyenzi’ in Rwandan) in increasingly provocative language. Explicit Radio messages to “kill the cockroaches” and to “do your job” preceded the outbreak of the mass butchery in April 1994. The perpetrators, using a mix of rock music, and juicy gossip to gain the ear of a mass audience, broadcast carefully calibrated increases in frequency and intensity of hate language to incite to mass killing in a society where neighbors killed neighbors. The timeline below gives details of the buildup in incitement prior to the mass killings.



Darfur: Was there Incitement below the radar screen?


In September 2004, the US State Department declared that acts of genocide had occurred in Darfur. [lxi] In Darfur, (where the death toll has been estimated to be up to or exceeding 400,000), [lxii] the Sudanese regime supported, protected and supplied the Janjaweed’s genocidal activities, but denies genocidal intent.


John Hagan has shown there was an increased use of racial epithets by Janjaweed rapists when they were joined by soldiers from the Sudanese Army—a finding suggesting, but not proving, the possibility of incitement and direction from the top down, below the level of detection, directly reaching the perpetrators, without the use of open incitement to motivate the entire population. [lxiii]

In Darfur, the record so far suggests that perpetrators carried out mass killing without broadcasting hate language and incitement, so as to conceal intent and a pattern of central direction.



Kenya: Person-to-person spread of incitement


In Kenya, election campaigns have been shown to be the high risk periods for viral person-to-person spread of incitement, at first by word of mouth and then by text messaging—a highly efficient method. In the aftermath of disputed election results in 2008, and perhaps even before, tribal elders incited their followers to kill, plunder, and pillage.[lxiv] The inciters channeled endemic everyday street violence in the poor countryside and incited mobs to burn, kill and plunder rival tribal and political groupings. Because the inciters used vernacular dialects in isolated and remote rural settings, the story was not picked by urban based media until after violence started. The death toll was at least 1300 killed and 300,000 displaced.[lxv]

Mediators from the African Union were able to bring together shaken elites from two rival groupings just when the situation reached the tipping point and Kenya was on the brink of becoming another Rwanda. Pressures from the top down aborted the spread of the killings, burnings, and expulsions. Governmental initiatives led to the use of text messaging to counter the inciters’ text messaging, [lxvi] It remains to be seen if the current uneasy quiet will be broken with the next election.



Indian Subcontinent - Sri Lanka: State Discrimination and Tamilese terror without overt public incitement


In Sri Lanka, at the time of writing, a bloody civil war has ended with the Sinhalese government killing some 20,000 Tamilese, brutally suppressing the Tamilese minority, and pushing the entire group into no-escape zones in the northeast and southeast corners of the island, where there were some 200,000 refugees in the late summer and early autumn of 2009. The government has seized male children below 10 years old, and taken them away, and there is no information on their subsequent fate.[lxvii] More recently, the Sinhalese Government forces released pregnant women from badly overcrowded refugee enclaves [lxviii] into surrounding areas where there were no potable water, food or shelter, and where they were left to fend for themselves. These reports suggest the possibility that there may have been intentions to destroy a population, in whole or in part, via conditions simulating a man-made disaster.

The picture is unclear concerning the role of hate language and incitement by the Sinhalese government and the Tamilese Tigers terror groups—the inventors of the suicide belt bomb-- against civilians and military bases, actions which have had the result of diverting outside attention away from their oppressive mistreatment, and the social, cultural and economic discrimination against them. There have been bitter accusations –and equally bitter denials of whether the Central Government’s actions have been genocidal —a subject beyond the scope of this review.

Over the years, in Sri Lanka there has been intense controversy over the boundaries of journalistic freedom and speech. Information is not readily available, however, on the role of incitement by both sides in promoting the discrimination, the terror, and the backlash to the terror. Watchdog groups have accused the government of inciting to violence against journalists, and have catalogued a list of journalists who have been kidnapped, beaten and killed, despite laws in the books guaranteeing basic freedoms. [lxix]

Section II: The epidemiology of hate language and incitement:

Useful models from public health


Certain concepts from public health are useful for examining the impact of population-wide exposure to dehumanizing medical metaphors and messages, on potential individual perpetrators, the population-at-large of followers and bystanders. This section examines concepts and tools of public health, preventive medicine and epidemiology—the field which studies the distribution and determinants of diseases in populations. These concepts and tools, first developed to control and eradicate microbial diseases transmitted by water, food, air-borne and person-to-person spread, have produced spectacular advances in identifying the risks and advancing prevention of chronic non-infectious diseases, --e.g. heart disease, cancer, mass disasters, injuries, and violence.

Concepts such as Predict and Prevent, surveillance, early warning signs, incubation periods, and pro-active intervention against sources of exposure have been the basis of spectacular advances in both infectious and non-infectious diseases and mass violence. They are now part of everyday conventional wisdom concerning decision making and public policy. More recently, concepts such as the Mean determines the Extreme, and the Precautionary Principle should help advance the locus of genocide intervention from proof of intent after the event to Predict and Prevent.



Hate language and incitement: “The Mean determines the Extreme,” but the extreme also determines the mean


The epidemiologist Geoffrey Rose made the point that for any exposure to a risk factor or disease, “the mean determines the range.” [lxx] [lxxi] Applied to genocide, we can paraphrase this aphorism to say that the Mean determines the Extreme. This somewhat simplistic but powerful aphorism is a way of saying that small increases in exposure applied to large numbers of persons—i.e. a population-- produce more persons with an adverse outcome ---i.e. perpetrators--- than large increases in exposure applied to small numbers of people. Applied to incitement and genocide, this concept suggests the hypothesis that massive population-wide exposure to hate language and incitement will shift the distribution curve for the level of hate to the right, producing a pool of potential perpetrators and complicit bystanders. The numbers of perpetrators produced by such population wide incitement will be much larger than the number from high intensity messages directed to small high-risk groups.

We do not have empirical verification of the hypothesis, that Rose’s aphorism is a valid tool for predicting the population-wide effects of exposure to incitement. But a simple thought experiment suggests the hypothesis that the power of population-wide exposures could be massive. Marketing a low intensity message of incitement with a success rate of 5% for recruiting perpetrators from a population of 500,000 will yield 2,500 candidates. By contrast, marketing a high intensity message with a success rate of 50% to a high risk subgroup of 500 will yield only 250 candidates.


“The mean determines the extreme” may help us understand why architects of genocide find it useful to direct their messages of hate at the total population. It is suggested, that their aim is to shift to the right the entire population curve for the probability that individuals will act out messages from HL&I. Population wide exposure not only produces the potential for large numbers of recruits, but also creates a total population-wide protective ambience for the indoctrination directed at the smaller number of hard-core perpetrators.



But, in genocide… does the extreme determine the mean?


The notion that the Mean determines the Extreme is true, when the exposure is independent of the outcome, such as with smoking and cancer – i.e. if a larger number of people smoke, we will encounter more cases of cancer. But as with contagious diseases, there are secondary consequences --- producing a small pool of hard core perpetrators, who promote the spread of more hate and incitement. There are circular and mutually reinforcing relationships between those who do the inciting—those on the Extreme-- and those who have been incited to carry out mass atrocities—i.e. all the others. These relationships produce tipping points for autocatalytic spread of genocidal messages and actions. What may have started as messages coming from the top down into a social system, take on a momentum of their own as those on the extreme fringe propagate their messages and use intimidation to recruit more followers.



Positive Deviance, Exposure and Individual Susceptibility


In Epidemiology, it is well recognized that the risk for contracting a given disease caused by an environmental agent, is a function of the interaction between exposure and susceptibility. [lxxii] [lxxiii] There are individuals who, following exposure to a carcinogenic agent for as briefly as a month, will contract a cancer associated with the agent. But then there are other individuals, who will live to the age of 100, going to the funerals of all those who warned them of the risks from far heavier exposures to the same agent. In short, increased exposure is predictive of increased risks for members of the group, but not determining for individual members of the group.

Is the exposure-susceptibility model useful for understanding the contribution of past exposure to background levels of incitement as triggers of terror rampages in troubled individuals? This question applies to the case of the US military psychiatrist, Major Nidal Malik Hasan, in whom the warning signs of danger were missed prior to his reported rampage killing of 14 of his colleagues. [lxxiv] The exposure susceptibility model also applies to the "underwear bomber" and "Jihad Jane", two other troubled individuals who were recruited via the internet. [lxxv] [lxxvi] The exposure-susceptibility paradigm leads us directly to examine the potential of applying the concept of Promoting Positive Deviance—for which there are now abundant precedents in public health. [lxxvii]



Shifting the mean to the left and promoting Positive Deviance


It is suggested that “the Mean determines the Extreme” can be exploited for prevention of genocide. Preventive approaches have to be population-wide, and directed to removing population-wide exposures to incitement. Strategies which aim to shift the curve to the left need to exploit the public health experience with promoting positive deviance. The aim is to shift the distribution curve for the entire population back to the left. It is not enough to restrict attention only to the high-risk groups at the right end of frequency distribution.[lxxviii] [lxxix]

Genocide scholars have noted that among ordinary people, there is a minority---estimated by Christopher Browning to be of the order of 10%--who are resistant to such incitement and are unwilling to participate in the mass killing.[lxxx] Browning’s estimate was based on empirical studies of the behavior of reservists, nearly all not members of the Nazi party, in a German police battalion sent to Poland to carry out mass shooting of captive Jews. "The other children egged the boy on, but he did not want to throw the stone through the window", says it all.

Who are these individuals and why are they are resistant to incitement and hate language? Promoting the attitudes and traits of such individuals is one of the major challenges to those concerned with the primary prevention of genocide.



Hate language and Incitement - Incubation periods: How much time do architects and perpetrators need? The challenge to responders


How much time do perpetrators and their accomplices need to motivate sufficiently large a population to become executioners in Aktions, members of execution squads, wielders of hatchets who bludgeon, behead, and shoot, or today- send rockets at vulnerable populations with intent to kill; or for them to become bystanders? The challenge to perpetrators is formidable: to remove the inhibitions to direct hands-on one-to-one butchery—without the blunting effects of "push-button" distancing---i.e. when the perpetrators are using weapons which produce a disconnection between action and consequence, as in operating missile delivery systems or chemical warfare systems.

The challenge to responders is even more formidable: to intervene fast enough to prevent incitement leading to killing.


Experience from the Holocaust, former Yugoslavia and Rwanda suggests that a period of weeks to months may be sufficient to produce cadres of genocidaires who do the killing and raping, and to deflect bystanders from protest or resistance. Eight months elapsed between the onset of Radio TV de Libre Milles Collines (RTVLMC)’s incitement in Rwanda in August 1993—at first, coy, and then ever more explicit–and the mass killing, although there had been years of preparation and organization partially hidden from the eyes of outside observers. [lxxxi]


Often, perpetrators reactivate submerged half buried or half forgotten “memories", or recycle myths, as is the case with the blood libels of antisemitism to produce rage, revulsion, demands for revenge, and hate—and desensitization of bystanders, although, as noted, in an era of push-button genocide, such incitement may be hardly necessary. [lxxxii] Most recently, we see, ominously, the recycling of such blood libels in liberal democratic countries---e.g. the Swedish newspaper story on Israelis harvesting the organs of killed Palestinians,[lxxxiii] [lxxxiv] or the Turkish TV series broadcasting fictional images of what appear to be Israeli soldiers killing children.[lxxxv] [lxxxvi] These examples of the demonization, defamation and disinformation by antisemitism, whatever the inciters' intent, can certainly be expected to both increase the pool of perpetrators of genocidal terror and increase mass desensitization of bystanders.



The Case for Action: What Now... and If Not Now, When?


The foregoing underscores the importance of online surveillance systems for tracking HL&I in real time, so as to trigger interventions directed at those who manufacture and disseminate their toxic messages. The interventions can include a mix of political, economic, educational, legal or military measures. The failure to jam or bomb the Rwandan radio transmitters is a spectacular example of a low-cost, low risk missed opportunity for intervention against toxic incitement, which could have crippled the Rwandan regime’s capacity to organize, instruct, inform and incite its genocidaires. [lxxxvii] By contrast, in Darfur, where there was no widely known public hate language and incitement, but indications of incitement directed at perpetrators, preventive measures would have required political, military and economic sanctions against leading members of the regime, along with bombing the Janjaweed. Darfur tells us that the absence of evidence of public state sponsored hate language and incitement is no guarantee of absence of risk for a genocidal scenario. Indeed, the Darfur story shows how the absence of incitement directed towards the outside world may serve to conceal genocidal actions.



How long does it take to reverse the effects of incitement and hate language?


The adverse impacts of incitement and hate language are a function of the intensity and frequency of exposure. They are modified by the political and social context shaping the susceptibility of the target population to the messages, notably an authoritarian structure. Getting rid of the message by removing its propagators from power gets rid of the exposure. Denazification was successful in Germany in transforming its society into a normal democracy ---even if beer hall and kitchen table hate may have persisted, because the Allied Occupiers destroyed Nazi regime, reshaped Germany’s political and social environment and totally transformed the educational information system. [lxxxviii] Half a century later, there are still bigotry and hate crimes in Germany, a result of the intergenerational transmission of the age-old motifs of antisemitism and hatred for foreigners. But state-based structures of modern liberal democracy, including laws against hate crimes, so far appear to be robust enough to withstand their challenges—unless there will be violent economic and social upheaval. Where there is lack of will or power at the level of the State to defeat and remove those producing the incitement, we are left with the challenge of decades of work to undo the enduring intergenerational effects of their HL&I.

In Rwanda, the incitement from RTVLMC to “kill the cockroaches” ended when a Tutsi exile army defeated the government’s army. Former bitter enemies live side-by-side, tensely, and in pain and grief, but in peace. In Cambodia, the same happened when the Vietnamese invaded that country and destroyed the Khmer Rouge regime. Without total defeat of a regime carrying out genocidal mass atrocities, preventing genocide by preventing incitement and hate language requires effective use of the tools of international law to punish the inciters, as proposed by Irwin Cotler and cosigners in their Petition, [lxxxix] if not officially, at least in the court of public opinion.



Push button genocide: When incitement may not be necessary


Today, in the era of mass bombing, the threats of nuclear genocide, and the threat of push-button genocide, the distance between those pressing the button and those who are the “targets”—itself a dehumanizing term - creates possibilities for genocide without mass hate. In a scenario in which a small number of perpetrators carry out atrocities directed against a defined population --- as when Saddam used helicopter gunships to gas the Kurds in Iraq [xc] - in theory, all that is necessary is to harden feelings of disconnection and depersonalization in those pressing the button.



Past action against hate language and incitement


The horrific effects of dehumanizing hate language by the Nazis led to the enactment of the provisions in the UN Convention on the Punishment and Prevention of Genocide. Incitement to genocide was defined as a crime against humanity. The Convention was the basis for the conviction and execution of Julius Streicher for the inflammatory language he published in Der Sturmer. [xci] Following the Rwandan genocide, the UN incorporated the provisions specifying that incitement to genocide is a crime against humanity, into the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court. These provisions were the basis of the International Criminal Tribunal Court- Rwanda- ICT-R convictions of broadcasters, rock singers and journalists for incitement to genocide. [xcii] [xciii] [xciv] The Mugasera case - in which the former politician was accused of encouraging attacks in Rwanda on Tutsis in his speech - using principles from international law, established the precedent that criminal liability exists even if it is not possible to prove a direct cause effect connection between the words of the individual inciter and the subsequent genocide.[xcv] Today, many countries have laws against hate language and incitement.


The Precautionary Principle: Prediction, prevention and protection


Can we prevent genocide by preventing state sponsored hate language and incitement? A coherent approach to prevention of genocide requires that we advance the temporal locus of intervention from that period in time when the perpetrators start carrying out their mass killings, rapes, expulsions and plundering, or committing push-button genocide--- to when earlier warning signs signal genocidal intent. Accordingly, genocide prevention needs to move from interventions triggered by evidence of proof of intent after the event, to actions to predict and prevent before the event.


Richter and Stanton have noted that the proposal to criminalize and prosecute incitement by state authorities and their funded or protected surrogates is an example of applying the Precautionary Principle — public health’s gift to genocide prevention.[xcvi] The Precautionary Principle specifies that when there is uncertainty concerning the likelihood of the occurrence of a catastrophic event, it is better to intervene to prevent rather than wait and do nothing. The Precautionary Principle shifts the burden of proof from those suspecting the risk to those denying it. Since human lives are at stake, there is an ethical import to delay. It restates the aphorism that an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure. [xcvii] [xcviii] [xcix]


The case for application of the Precautionary Principle to the prevention of genocide –perhaps the ultimate man-made human catastrophe, is that the negative consequences of doing nothing to stop state sponsored HL&I incitement are far greater than the negative consequences of doing something. [c] Intervention against state sanctioned hate language and incitement before the killing starts is far less dangerous than failing to stop incitement and thereby allowing perpetrators to expel, plunder and exterminate. We suggest that the downside consequences of using the tools of international law to stop hate language and incitement are far less than those from sending in armed forces to defeat or destroy genocidal regimes once the killing and mass expulsions begin.

We have to recognize that if there is state sanctioned hate language and incitement, there is an increased risk for genocide, but this relationship is not necessarily determinant. Furthermore, there can be genocide without hate language and incitement. Perpetrators can use mass starvation to commit genocide without mass incitement, thereby concealing their actions from their own countrymen and the outside world.

This lack of total predictability was the pretext for US Genocide Prevention Task Force’s rejection of recommendations to apply the Precautionary Principle, and promote interventions directed against state sponsored hate language and incitement.[ci]*

As already noted, the Nazis used hate language, but did not explicitly incite — so as to conceal and camouflage their genocidal goals. As a result, it was not until mid-1942 — more than 3 years after their invasion of Poland, that the world began to recognize the horrible scale of the Holocaust’s atrocities. Legal distinctions between hate language and incitement, while important for ascertaining accountability, are not crucial to prevention. From the standpoint of prevention, what counts is not proof of criminality, but interventions directed at the causes –e.g. the potentially horrific effects of dehumanizing hate language and their genocidal consequences.



Using the Precautionary Principle to prevent hate language and incitement


The foregoing helps clarify strategies for guiding prediction and prevention of genocide and protection of vulnerable populations. We suggest that the case for action for testing these strategies is compelling.



What can be done?


From Darfur and Rwanda, we have learned from bitter experience that the proposal to establish a standby military Rapid Deployment Force (RDF) to intervene to stop genocide may have become an oxymoron. The same conclusion applies to its parent vision: that it is possible to prevent genocide once the mass killing starts. To date, RDF’s have not been rapid (e.g. Bosnia), [cii] they did not truly deploy (e.g. Darfur), [ciii] and they did not have real force at a level which deterred (e.g. Rwanda). [civ] So far, those nations with the force to deploy do not have the appetite or will to put their sons at risk to protect some faraway group “out there”—for all too readily understandable reasons.

If state sanctioned hate language and incitement often predicts genocide, it remains to be seen if stopping such hate language and incitement prevents many genocides. To create the data base for putting this hypothesis to test, Genocide Prevention Now of the Institute for the Study of the Holocaust and Genocide, Jerusalem is proposing an international worldwide network for tracking and monitoring hate language and incitement (HL&I) based on predict-and-prevent models for surveillance of epidemic warning signs, derived from epidemiology and public health. This network will be developing search engines for tracking dehumanizing language from figures of authority—(“top down”)-or when it reaches a critical mass from viral dissemination (“bottom up”). The objective is to produce an ongoing world wide data base which will trigger interventions before the killing starts, by when it is already too late.



Conclusion


This overview of the history of incitement and hate language and its relationship to genocide in various scenarios requires us to examine whether its prevention will help us prevent genocide around the world.

Genocide and its prevention both result from human choice. But if state sanctioned hate language and incitement predict, promote and catalyze genocidal scenarios, then the case is compelling for applying the Precautionary Principle to prevent genocide by preventing such hate language and incitement, which mobilizes and motivates perpetrators and desensitizes bystanders. Such prevention requires developing world wide networks for epidemiologic surveillance of hate language and incitement. These networks would trigger interventions before perpetrators start carrying out mass atrocities against victim populations. Such interventions can exploit existing legal tools available under international law, but there are extra-legal interventions as well. Surveillance would give force to existing tools of international law to detect, deter, prevent and punish for the crimes of hate language and incitement. Other forms of incitement which need to be monitored are the recycling of demonizing myths such as those of genocidal antisemitism.

One lesson from the Holocaust is that there may be existential dangers associated with ignoring state sanctioned dehumanizing hate language, with and without explicit incitement, propagated by rogue regimes. We suggest that the spread of dehumanizing hate language drives a new world-wide axis of genocide.

In conclusion, the perils of neglecting the propagation and spread of state sanctioned and state sponsored hate language and incitement are ominous, especially in an era of push-button genocide, nuclear terror, rogue regimes and terror groups. Conversely, when regimes propagating such incitement are developing weapons of mass destruction (WMD), the case is imperative for stopping them from doing so, given the fact that such incitement is an early warning sign (EWS) until proven otherwise.


Will humankind test the efficacy of going from proof of intent after the event to predict and prevent? The lessons of the Holocaust empower us to address prevention of hate language and incitement against all populations without waiting for the consequences.





Appendix 1: Hate Language and Incitement in the Middle East – excerpts from school textbooks and Media.



Saudi Arabia school textbooks: [cv]


"The Jews are wickedness in its very essence". [cvi]

"Now it [Palestine] is occupied by the Jews, a people of treachery and betrayal, who have gathered there from every place: from Poland, Spain, America and elsewhere. Their end, by God's will, is perdition". [cvii]




Egyptian school Textbooks: [cviii]


"The lesson’s goals -
It is desirable that at the end of the lesson the student will be able to:
• Define the reasons for the war between the Muslims and the Jews of the Qaynuqa’ tribe.

• Mention some of the Jews’ blameworthy characteristics." [cix]


"The description of the Jews in the Qur’an is an eternal miracle [in itself], since it described them by the traits to which they have adhered throughout all their generations, such as stubbornness, material greed, slander, hypocrisy, plotting against Islam and the Muslims, and waging a war which is multifarious in its methods and manifestations and one in its true nature and goal." [cx]


"The Protected People [Ahl al-Dhimmah] shall not go out with them [i.e., with the Muslims, for prayer for rain outside the city]… because the gathering of infidels is expected to bring forth a [divine] curse." [cxi]


"[One] of the rules derived by the [Muslim religious] scholars from these [Qur’anic] verses is the following:

1. Obligation to fight the infidels with utmost vigor and power until
they become weak, their state disappears and they submit to the rule of the law of Islam." [cxii]



Egyptian TV:


Renowned Egyptologist Dr. Zahi Hawass, on Egyptian TV: "Jews Control the Entire World" [cxiii]

Interviewer: "So [the Jews] were dispersed in 133 C.E.?"
Zahi Hawass: "That's right."
Interviewer: "And they didn't reunite until 1900?"
Zahi Hawass: "Exactly."
Interviewer: "So they were dispersed for 18 centuries?"
Zahi Hawass: "For 18 centuries, they were dispersed throughout the world. They went to America and took control of its economy. They have a plan. Although they are few in number, they control the entire world."


Egyptian Cleric Ahmad 'Eid Mihna on Egyptian TV: "The Jews Are Behind Misery, Hardship, Usury, and Whorehouses" [cxiv]



Palestinian Authority school Textbooks: [cxv]


Israel is portrayed as a power that harms its immediate environment, as enumerated in a list of more than twenty-five crimes, beginning with its very establishment, through the occupation of Palestine both in 1948 and 1967, expulsion of the Palestinian people, oppression of those under its control, aggression against neighboring Arab states, massacre of Palestinians, assassination of Palestinian leaders, destruction of the Palestinian economy, house demolition, stealing Palestinian land and water, breaking of Palestinian

territorial unity, attempts at obliterating Palestinian national identity and heritage, usurpation or desecration of Palestinian Christian and Muslim holy places, and finally, Israel’s responsibility for social ills such as drug addiction in Palestinian society, the meager participation of Palestinian women in economic activity, family violence, etc. [cxvi]


The Zionist movement is presented as a racist movement connected with Western imperialism. [cxvii]


The Protocols of the Elders of Zion, a czarist Russian fabrication from the early twentieth century, is presented in a PA history textbook for grade 10 as the secret resolutions of the First Zionist Congress. The text reads: “There is a group of confidential resolutions adopted by the Congress and known by the name The Protocols of the Elders of Zion, the goal of which was world domination. They were brought to light by Sergey
Nilos and translated into Arabic by Muhammad Khalifah Al-Tunisi. [cxviii]


Following worldwide protests, the PA issued a revised edition of this book, but for a long time there was no indication that the old copies had been removed from schools and stores. The 2007 revised book does not include references to the Protocols.


"Your enemies killed your children, split open your women’s bellies, held your revered elderly men by the beard, and led them to the death pits." [cxix]

This text was written by the Egyptian writer Mustafa Lutfi al-Manfaluti, who died in 1924. It was not originally directed against the Jews, but its inclusion in a Palestinian textbook of today clearly has a demonizing effect regarding Jews.



Palestinian TV:


New Antisemitic Animated Film on Hamas' Al-Aqsa TV Vilifies Palestinian Authority: PA Security Forces Help Stereotypical Blood-Drinking Jews [cxx]
Settler Massacres Palestinians to Drink Their Blood, and is Welcomed by PA Officer

Father: "Son, the five most delicious things in the world are three..."
Settler: "I know."
Settler and his father: "Palestinian blood."
Father: "Go, son. Drink their blood, and come back safely."
Settler: "I will do it for you, father."
Father: "This is a map of Hebron. Take it. You may need it."
Settler: "I will not need it, because I am not Gilad [Shalit], and the West Bank is not Gaza. Calm down. Shalom, father."


The bear puppet host, Nassur, of a Hamas children's TV program, and Saraa Barhoum, 11 year old Child Star: [cxxi]

[Seven year-old Palestinian child on phone tells how his father, a member of the Hamas Al-Qassam Brigades, “died as a Shahid (Martyr).”]
Nassur to child on phone: “What do you want to do to the Jews who shot your father?”
Child on phone: “I want to kill them.”
Saraa: “We don't want to do anything to them, just expel them from our land.”
Nassur: “We want to slaughter (Nidbah-hom) them, so they will be expelled from our land, right?”
Saraa: “Yes. That's right. We will expel them from our land using all means.”
Nassur: “And if they don't want [to go] peacefully, by words or talking, we’ll have to [do it] by slaughter.” (Shaht)



Turkish TV:


New television drama depicts Israel Defense Forces soldiers as brutal murderers.
The show, called "Ayrilik", features a love story that develops between the lead characters during Israel's offensive in the Gaza Strip, according to Israeli media reports.

A partial episode available on YouTube depicts multiple images of the IDF brutalizing the Palestinian population by shooting children in the chest and kicking elderly people on the ground, among other things.

The Turkish Web site of TRT includes a brief explanation of the series and announces that the production is “a heartfelt display of the events in Palestine, which was occupied in 1948.” The series, the website said, “portrays the sorrow of women and children, in particular, and gives a voice to the suffering of mothers whose children and husbands were slaughtered.” [cxxii] [cxxiii] [cxxiv]




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

* The UNGC did not include mass killings of groups defined by their political origin, because of pressure from the Soviet Union. This exclusion meant that the Stalinist starvation campaigns against the Ukranians, the mass deportations of ethnic minorities, the starvation campaigns by the North Koreans, Mao’s mass purges, and the Cambodian genocide were not covered by the UNGC—a colossal omission.

* Using this logic, there would not be case for smoking bans, since most smokers do not get cancer, and many cancer victims have never smoked



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[i] Charny I. The Encyclopedia of Genocide, Israel W. Charny, Editor in Chief; Rouben Paul Adalian, Steven L. Jacobs, Eric Markusen, Samuel Totten, Associate Editors; Marc I. Sherman, Bibliographic Editor; Pauline Cooper, Managing Editor; Forewords by Archbishop Desmond Tutu and Simon Wiesenthal; Santa Barbara, CA: ABC-Clio, 1999, Two volumes, 720p.


[ii] Rummel, R.J. Death by Government, Transaction Publishers, 1997, Democide — Nazi Genocide and Mass Murder, Power Kills: Democracy as a Method of Nonviolence, Trasnaction Publishers, 2002.


[iii] Convention on the Prevention of Genocide- General Assembly Resolution 260 (III) of 8 December 1948. Available at: URL: http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/NR0/044/31/IMG/NR004431.pdf?OpenElement.


[iv] Richter ED, Barnea A. Tehran’s Genocidal Incitement Against Israel. Middle East Quarterly. 2009; 16(3) pp. 45-51. Available at:
http://www.meforum.org/2167/iran-genocidal-incitement-israel


[v] See 4


[vi] To incite: “to set in rapid motion, rouse, stimulate, stir up, animate, instigate, or stimulate to do something” or “to urge or provoke (some action).”

Incitement: “… the action of inciting or rousing to action; an urging setting up, or stimulation” or “that which incites or rouses to action, animating cause or motive, spur”.

An inciter: “one who incites or rouses to action; an instigation”.

The compact edition of the Oxford English Dictionary. 2 v. Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1971.


[vii] Gordon G. From incitement to indictment: prosecuting Iran’s president for advocating Israel’s destruction and piecing together incitement law’s emerging analytic network. J. Crim. L. Crinmiology 200898(3):853-920.


[viii] Samuels, S. Applying the Lessons of the Holocaust:
from Particularism to Universalism and Back. Available at: http://www.holocaust-trc.org/samuels.htm


[ix] Burke, Edmund. 1729 – 1797. The quote is not found in any of Burkes' literature – but is associated with him.


[x] Dadrian V. The role of Turkish physicians in the World War I genocide of Ottoman Armenians. Holocaust and Genocide Studies 1986; 1(2):169-192.


[xi] Solzhenitsyn, A. The Gulag Archipelago. London, Collins 1974. p. 27.


[xii] Library of Congress: Revelations from the Russian Archives. Available at: http://www.loc.gov/exhibits/archives/ukra.htm
[xiii] Naimark N. Fires of hatred: ethnic cleansing in 20th century Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2001. p. 58–62.


[xiv] Hitler A. Nation and Race. In: Mein Kampf. I. 1924; 11:285–329, Nation and Race.


[xv] Blum Rony et al. ‘Ethnic cleansing’ bleaches the atrocities of genocide. The European Journal of Public Health. 2008, 18(2):204-209
Available at: http://eurpub.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/reprint/ckm011v1


[xvi] Ribao, R. Sweep Away All Monsters. Peking Review. 1966; 9 (23). 3 June 1966. Available at: http://www.marxists.org/subject/china/peking-review/1966/PR1966-23c.htm


[xvii] Refugees International, Acts of Betrayal. The Challenge of Protecting North Koreans in China, April 2005, Available at: URL: http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/47a6eba50.html


[xviii] Yager C. They Killed Their Neighbors: Genocide’s Foot Soldiers”. CNN. 10 December 2008. Available at: URL:
http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/11/25/sbm.perpetrators/


[xix] Cekic S. The Aggression against the Republic of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Sarajevo 2005, p.239. Institute for the Research of Crimes Against Humanity and International Law, Sarajevo.


[xx] Richter ED. Commentary on Genocide: Can We Predict, Prevent, and Protect? Journal of Public Health Policy. 2008; 29(3) 265–274.


[xxi] Laughlin HH. Eugenical Steriliziation in the United States. 1922, Chicago: Psychopathic Laboratory of the Municipal Court of Chicago. The American Journal of Sociology 1930 36(1):65-73. Available from: URL:http://dnapatents.georgetown.edu/resources/EugenicalSterilizationInTheUS.pdf


[xxii] Harff Barbara. “No Lessons Learned from the Holocaust? Assessing Risks of Genocide and Political Mass Murder since 1955,” American Political Science Review Vol. 97, No.1 (February 2003), pp. 57-73.


[xxiii] Barbara Harff, Genocide, July 17, 2003, Commissioned by the Human Security Centre. Available at:
http://www.humansecurityreport.info/background/Harff_Genocide.pdf


[xxiv] Israel Charny: On the Development of the Genocide Early Warning System, p.254, The Encyclopedia of Genocide, Israel W. Charny, Editor in Chief; Rouben Paul Adalian, Steven L. Jacobs, Eric Markusen, Samuel Totten, Associate Editors; Marc I. Sherman, Bibliographic Editor; Pauline Cooper, Managing Editor; Forewords by Archbishop Desmond Tutu and Simon Wiesenthal; Santa Barbara, CA: ABC-Clio, 1999, Two volumes, 720p.


[xxv] Stanton, Gregory H. Eight Stages of Genocide
Originally written in 1996 at the Department of State; presented at the Yale University Center for International and Area Studies in 1998). Available at:
http://www.genocidewatch.org/aboutgenocide/8stagesofgenocide.html


[xxvi] Gordon Gregory, personal communication


[xxvii] Thomas E. Davies. How the Rome Statute Weakens the International Prohibition on Incitement to Genocide
Available at: http://harvardhrj.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/davies.pdf


[xxviii] Holocaust Memorial Day Trust. Victims of Nazi Hatred. Available at: http://www.hmd.org.uk/genocides/victims-of-nazi-hatred/


[xxix] Proctor R. The Nazi War Against Cancer; Princeton University Press, 2000, 380 pages


[xxx] Davis Devra. The Secret History of the War on Cancer. Basic Books, New York, 2007, 528 pages


[xxxi] See 15


[xxxii] Kreso M. Milosevic Guilty of Genocide-Decision on Motion of the Hague Tribunal of 16 June 2004, Sarajevo 2007 (source: www.un.org), Institute for Crimes Against Humanity and International Law, Sarajevo, 2007, p 9


[xxxiii] Mass crimes against humanity and genocides, Atrocities since World War II. Available at: http://www.religioustolerance.org/genocide4.htm


[xxxiv] The History Place. Genocide in the 20th century. Bosnia-Herzegovina 1992-1995, 200,000 deaths. Available at:
http://www.historyplace.com/worldhistory/genocide/bosnia.htm


[xxxv] A State-of-the-Art Contribution to Our Knowledge of Contemporary Anti-Semitism. Neu-alter Judenhass: Antisemitismus, arabisch-israelischer Konflikt und europäische Politik
(New-Old Jew Hatred: Anti-Semitism, the Arab-Israeli Conflict, and European Policy) by Klaus Faber, Julius H. Schoeps and Sacha Stawski. Reviewed by Joel Fishman.

http://www.jcpa.org/JCPA/Templates/ShowPage.asp?DRIT=3&DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=111&FID=624&PID=0&IID=1663&TTL=Joel_Fishman_on_Neu-alter_Judenhass:_Antisemitismus,_arabisch-israelischer_Konflikt_und_europ%C3%A4ische_Politik


[xxxvi] Matthias Küntzel, National Socialism and Anti-Semitism in the Arab World. Available at: http://www.jcpa.org/phas/phas-kuntzel-s05.htm

[xxxvii] Matthias Küntzel: Hitler's Legacy: Islamic anti-Semitism in the Middle East – the Impact of the Muslim Brotherhood. Invited Paper at Institution for Social and Policy Studies, Yale University, November 30, 2006
Available at: http://spme.net/cgi-bin/articles.cgi?ID=3008


[xxxviii] Andrew G. Bostom. The Legacy of Islamic Antisemitism: From Sacred Texts to Solemn History. Prometheus Books, April 2008 Reprint, 768pp


[xxxix] See 35


[xl] See 36


[xli] Wolfram Reiss and Rainer Bartsch. Christian Religion in Arab School Books, A Mere Precursor of Islam. Available at:
http://www.qantara.de/webcom/show_article.php/_c-478/_nr-423/i.html



[xlii] Andrew G. Bostom, Textbook Jihad in Egypt
FrontPageMagazine.com . Wednesday, June 30, 2004, available at:
http://97.74.65.51/readArticle.aspx?ARTID=12414


[xliii] See 4


[xliv] BBC News. Trial puts spotlight on Iran's Jews, 13 April, 2000. Available at:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/711917.stm


[xlv] Backgrounder: The Trial of 13 Iranian Jews. Anti Defamation League.
Available at: http://www.adl.org/backgrounders/Iranian_Jews.asp


[xlvi] Cotler Irwin. The Danger of a Nuclear, Genocidal and Rights-Violating Iran:
The Responsibility to Prevent Petition, pgs.20-34. Available at:
http://content.liberal.ca/fe9cf988-49a0-42eb-9e11-2a512494abd7/pdf/2010-01-07-r2p-petition.pdf


[xlvii] Marcus, I. and Crook, B. "Kill a Jew – go to Heaven" A study of the Palestinian Authority's promotion of genocide. Available at: URL: http://www.pmw.org.il/KAJ_eng.htm


[xlviii] Haviv Retting Gur, Israelis, US Jews harvesting Algerian children's organs: Report spreading like wildfire across Muslim and anti-Semitic web sites. Jerusalem Post, September 15, 2009. Available at: http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=JPost/Page/IndexPho&cid=1123495333292
[xlix] Burdman D. Education, Indoctrination, and Incitement: Palestinian Children on their way to Marytrdom. Terrorism and Political Violence. 1556-1836. Volume 15. Issue 1. 2003.


[l] Stalinsky, Steven. Palestinian Authority Sermons 2000-2003. 26 December 2003. MEMRI Special Report - No. 24. Available at: URL: http://memri.org/bin/articles.cgi?Page=archives&Area=sr&ID=SR2403


[li] Children in the Service of Terror. 21 July 2009. MEMRI Special Dispatch- No. 2455 Available at: URL: http://memri.org/bin/articles.cgi?Page=archives&Area=sd&ID=SP245509


[lii] Hamas Covenant 1988. Avalon Project. Yale Law School. Available at: URL: http://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/hamas.asp


[liii] Antisemitism on Egypts Al-Rahma TV. MEMRI Special Dispatch No. 2466. 30 July 2009. Available at: http://www.memri.org/bin/articles.cgi?Page=subjects&Area=antisemitism&ID=SP246609


[liv] Marcus, I. PA Libels, Lies, and Distortions. Palestine Media Watch. Available at: URL: http://www.pmw.org.il/


[lv] Names of Palestinian Authority Schools . Palestinian Media Watch.
http://palwatch.org/main.aspx?fi=608


[lvi] Abu Mazen's Palestinian Authority Names Another Summer Camp After A Suicide Bomber
http://www.zoa.org/sitedocuments/pressrelease_view.asp?pressreleaseID=541


[lvii] PMW Bulletins - Abbas sponsors birthday celebrations honoring terrorist Dalal Mughrabi, killer of 37. Available at:
http://palwatch.org/main.aspx?fi=157&doc_id=1526


[lviii] Wistrich Robert S. A LETHAL OBSESSION. Anti-Semitism from Antiquity to the Global Jihad. Random House. 1,184 pp.


[lix] Syrian Actress Amal 'Arafa: Hatred of Israel is in Our Genes and Blood. Al-Hirwa TV. 4 October 2008. Available at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5Os4pdjtZ0


[lx] Chalk F Radio Propaganda and Genocide MIGS Occasional Paper Nov. 1999; http;//migs.concordia.ca/occpwpers/radio-pr.html/


[lxi] Powell Reports Sudan Responsible for Genocide in Darfur
Calls for continued pressure, action from U.N., U.S. and AU. 09 September 2004. http://www.america.gov/st/washfile-english/2004/September/20040909115958JTgnilwoD0.5094873.html#ixzz0i5ZINXAi



[lxii] Reeves E, Darfur Mortality: Shoddy Journalism at the NY Times. Aug 14 2007. Available at: http://www.sudanreeves.org/Article180.html


[lxiii] Hagan, J.; Rymond-Richmond, W.; Palloni, A. Racial Targeting of Sexual Violence in Darfur. American Journal of Public Health, 2009: 99(8) 1386-1392


[lxiv] Gettleman Jeffrey. Signs in Kenya that Killings were planned. New York Times. 21 January 2008. Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/21/world/africa/21kenya.html?_r=1


[lxv] Factbox - Recent African Elections. Reuters News. 4 Dec 2008. Available at: http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSL3713586


[lxvi] Text Messages Used to Incite Violence in Kenya, by Ofeibea Quist-Arcton Feb 20 2008. Available at:
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=19188853


[lxvii] BBC News. Sri Lanka youth seized to fight, 13th November 2006.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/6144200.stm


[lxviii] BBC News. 'Dire conditions' at Sri Lanka camp. Tamils forced into Sri Lanka's government run camps say conditions are difficult with water shortages and high levels of sickness.
Available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/em/fr/-/2/hi/africa/8295494.stm


[lxix] Sri Lankan Government Must End Incitement to Violence against Journalists: Stop the War on Journalists in Sri Lanka. Available at: http://asiapacific.ifj.org/en/articles/sri-lankan-government-must-end-incitement-to-violence-against-journalists

[lxx] Rose G. Sick individuals and sick populations. International Journal of Epidemiology. 1985;14:32-38.


[lxxi] Penman AD, Johnson WD. The Changing Shape of the Body Mass Index Distribution Curve in the Population: Implications for Public Health Policy to Reduce the Prevalence of Adult Obesity. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/Pcd/issues/2006/jul/05_0232.htm

Contains the exposition of the Rose model and illustrative graphs as they apply to blood pressure control


[lxxii] Perera Frederica P. Environment and Cancer: Who Are Susceptible? Science 7 November 1997: Vol. 278. no. 5340, pp. 1068 - 1073



[lxxiii] Nordberg Gunnar F. Biomarkers of exposure, effects and susceptibility in humans and their application in studies of interactions among metals in China. Toxicology Letters. Volume 192, Issue 1, 15 January 2010, Pages 45-49


[lxxiv] Self-radicalized terrorists more common. UPI.com, Nov. 15, 2009
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2009/11/15/Self-radicalized-terrorists-more-common/UPI-33911258298466/


[lxxv] CNN International. Al Qaeda link investigated as clues emerge in foiled terror attack. December 29, 2009.
http://www.cnn.com/2009/CRIME/12/28/airline.terror.attempt/index.html


[lxxvi] Profile: 'Jihad Jane' from Main Street
11 March 2010
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8561888.stm


[lxxvii] Levinson FJ, Barney J, Bassett L, Schultink W. Utilization of positive deviance analysis in evaluating community-based nutrition programs: an application to the Dular program in Bihar, India.
Food Nutr Bull. 2007 Sep 28(3):259-65.


[lxxviii] Mojtabai R; Malaspina D; Susser E. The Concept of Population Prevention: Application to Schizophrenia. Schizophrenia Bulletin. Vol 29(4), 2003, 791-801.

[lxxix] Adler RN, Smith J, Fishman P, Larson EB. To prevent, react, and rebuild: health research and the prevention of genocide. Health Services Research. 2004; 39(6 Pt 2):2027–51.


[lxxx] Browning C. Ordinary men: Reserve Police Battalion 101 and the Final Solution in Poland. New York, HarperCollins, 1992.


[lxxxi] The sound of hatred. BBC News Online, Monday 21 June 1999.
http://www.hartford-hwp.com/archives/35/179.html


[lxxxii] See 58


[lxxxiii] Swedish paper's organ harvesting article draws Israeli outrage. CNN.com/world, August 19, 2009, available at:
http://www.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/europe/08/19/israel.sweden.organ.harvesting/index.html


[lxxxiv] Accusation of Organ Theft Stokes Ire in Israel, The New York Times/ Middle East, August 23, 2009, available at:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/24/world/middleeast/24mideast.html


[lxxxv] Israel-Turkey tensions high over TV series. CNN World, January 12, 2010. Available at: http://www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/meast/01/12/turkey.israel/index.html


[lxxxvi] Israel rebukes Turkey over a television series, BBC News, 12 January 2010, available at:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8453694.stm


[lxxxvii] Dallaire, R. with Beardsley, B. Shake hands with the devil: The failure of humanity in Rwanda. Toronto: Random House Canada, 2003.


[lxxxviii] Michael Walzer. Regime Change and Just War
http://www.dissentmagazine.org/article/?article=663


[lxxxix] See 46


[xc] Iraqi Use of Chemical Weapons: Attacks on the Kurds. Henry L. Stimson center. http://www.stimson.org/cbw/pdf/FSAttackonKurds.pdf


[xci] Juslius Streicher – Biography. United States Holocaust Memorial Museum
http://www.ushmm.org/wlc/article.php?lang=en&ModuleId=10007316


[xcii] Incitement to Genocide in International Law. United States Holocaust Memorial museum.
http://www.ushmm.org/wlc/article.php?lang=en&ModuleId=10007839


[xciii] Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court. Adopted by the United Nations Diplomatic Conference of Plenipotentiaries on the Establishment of an International Criminal Court on 17 July 1998. Entry into force: 1 July 2002, in accordance with article 126.
http://www2.ohchr.org/english/law/criminalcourt.htm

[xciv] International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda
http://www.ictr.org/


[xcv] Top Court upholds Mugesera Deportation Order. CTV.ca. 28 June 2005. Available at: http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/1119959045332_19/?hub=TopStories


[xcvi] Richter ED and Stanton GH, The Precautionary Principle: A Brief for the Genocide Prevention Task Force submitted Nov 2007, available from authors.


[xcvii] Richter ED, Laster R. The Precautionary Principle, Epidemiology and the Ethics of Delay. International Journal of Occupational Medicine and Environmental Health, 2004; 17(1): 9 — 16.


[xcviii] Richter ED, Blum R, Soskolne C, Stanton G. The precautionary principle: environmental epidemiology’s gift to genocide prevention. (International Society for Environmental Epidemiology Paris, September 2006).


[xcix] Richter ED Incitement to Genocide and the Responsibility to Protect http://opiniojuris.org/author/elihu-richter/ April 22 2008


[c] See 20


[ci] Albright M K. Cohen W S. Preventing Genocide: A Blueprint for U. S. Policymakers. Washington, D. C., U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum. 2008.
http://www.ushmm.org/genocide/taskforce/


[cii] Weiss Thomas. The UN ‘s Prevention Pipe Dream. 1996. http://heinonline.org/HOL/Page?handle=hein.journals/berkjintlw14&div=16&g_sent=1&collection=journals#429


[ciii] Reeves. E. Failure to Mount a Humanitarian Intervention in Darfur: Historical context for dramatically escalating insecurity, November 29, 2004
http://www.sudanreeves.org/Sections-req-viewarticle-artid-229-allpages-1-theme-Printer.html


[civ] See 87


[cv] The West, Christians and Jews in Saudi Arabian Schoolbooks, January 2003. Research Update reveals Lack of Change in Saudi Curriculum, July, 2008. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. Available at:
http://www.impact-se.org/research/sa/index.html


[cvi] Saudi Arabia school textbook: "Language exercise, Facilitating the Rules of the Arabic Language", Grade 9, pt. 2 (1999) p. 24. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. Available at:
http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/SA/SA2003_ch5.pdf


[cvii] Saudi Arabia school textbook: "Dictation", Grade 8, pt. 1 (2000) p. 24. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. Available at:
http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/SA/SA2003_ch5.pdf


[cviii] IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education – private correspondence.
IMPACT-SE's published research on Egyptian school textbooks, is available at: http://www.impact-se.org/research/egypt/index.html


[cix] Egyptian school textbook: "Islamic Religious Education", Grade 4, Part 1, (2002) pp. 32-34. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education.


[cx] Egyptian school textbook: "Islamic Education", Grade 10, (2002) p. 39. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education.


[cxi] Egyptian school textbook: "Selections for the Explanation of [the Book of] “Selection” ", Grade 9 (2002), p. 103. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education.


[cxii] Egyptian school textbook: "Commentary on the Surahs of Muhammad, Al-Fath, Al-Hujurat and Qaf", Grade 11, (2002) p. 24. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education.


[cxiii] MEMRI - The Middle East Media Research Institute. Egyptian TV, February 11, 2009. Available at:
http://www.memri.org/report/en/0/0/0/0/0/51/4029.htm


[cxiv] MEMRI - The Middle East Media Research Institute. Inter Arab Relations. Video Clip. Egyptian TV. Egyptian Cleric Ahmad 'Eid Mihna: The Jews Are Behind Misery, Hardship, Usury, and Whorehouses.
http://www.memri.org/clip/en/0/0/0/0/0/0/2409.htm


[cxv] IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. (formerly CMIP—the Center for Monitoring the Impact of Peace) Available at: http://www.impact-se.org/research/pa/index.html


[cxvi] See chapter on “Israel’s Image” in various CMIP reports on PA schoolbooks. Available at: http://www.edume.org


[cxvii] Palestinian school textbook: "History of the Modern and Contemporary World", Grade 10 (2004), p. 63. .) IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. Available at: http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/PA/PA2008.pdf


[cxviii] Palestinian school textbook: "History of the Modern and Contemporary World", Grade 10 (2004), p. 63. (Sergey Nilos was the Russian author of this notorious document, under the auspices of the czarist secret police.) IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/PA/PA2008.pdf


[cxix] Palestinian school textbook: "Reading and Texts", Grade 8, Part 2 (2002), p. 16. IMPACT-SE, Institute for Monitoring Peace and Cultural Tolerance in School Education. http://www.impact-se.org/docs/reports/PA/PA2008.pdf


[cxx] MEMRI - The Middle East Media Research Institute. Inter Arab Relations. January 4, 2010. Available at: http://www.memri.org/report/en/0/0/0/0/0/51/3877.htm


[cxxi] Al-Aqsa (Hamas) TV, Sept. 22, 2009. Palestinian Media Watch. Available at: http://www.palwatch.org/main.aspx?fi=157&doc_id=1339


[cxxii] Haaretz - VIDEO / Israel rebukes Turkey over brutish TV portrayal of IDF
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1121061.html


[cxxiii] BBC News. Turkish TV series angers Israel.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8308124.stm


[cxxiv] The New York Times. Israel Protests Turkish TV Series About Palestine.
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/16/world/middleeast/16israel.html